Finance News
By Pankaj K
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Financial Assets Are Eating the Market. Sports betting built prediction markets. That's just the history.
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What Could Slow It Down. Not everything lines up neatly for a smooth run to $10 trillion.
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Institutional Money on the Horizon. If the financial asset angle plays out, institutional investors are probably the ones who move the…
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Bernstein put a number on it. The research firm sees the global prediction market hitting $10 trillion in volume by 2035, and the engine driving that isn't sports bets — it's…
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That's a big call. Prediction markets have spent years on the fringes, mostly associated with election odds and sports outcomes.
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Sports betting built prediction markets. That's just the history. But the Bernstein view is that financial assets will eventually dwarf that original use case, which would…
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Think about what that means structurally. If financial forecasting and risk management become the primary reasons people use prediction markets, then the whole infrastructure…
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Investors looking to diversify beyond traditional asset classes have started eyeing prediction markets as a tool, not just a novelty.
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And as these markets mature, the product set probably gets more sophisticated. More nuanced instruments, more ways to hedge, more options for participants who want granular…
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See also: Trueo Leaves Base for Ethereum, Pursuing Growth with $795K TVL Prediction Market
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Regulatory clarity is probably the biggest variable. Prediction markets sit in a murky legal zone in a lot of jurisdictions — sometimes treated like gambling, sometimes like…
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Infrastructure matters too. The pace at which supporting technology develops will shape how fast the market can actually absorb new participants and new volume.
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Market adoption rates are the third leg of that stool. Even if regulation improves and infrastructure scales, participants have to actually show up and use these platforms for…
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Bernstein's outlook basically bets that prediction markets become recognized as viable financial tools, not fringe products.
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More context: Geminis 80% Valuation Drop Sparks Acquisition Speculation Over Custody Assets
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