Bitcoin News

Story: Bitcoin Approaches a Critical Turning Point as One Major Barrier Blocks Its Path

By Maheen Hernandez

1 / 15

Rebound at a Critical Technical Level. On November 4, Bitcoin once again touched the lower trendline of its ascending channel and…

2 / 15

NUPL Revisits Historical Bottom Territory. A key on-chain indicator supporting the bottom thesis is the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL)…

3 / 15

The Cost-Basis Barrier That Could Prevent a Breakout. Bitcoin’s cost-basis heatmap highlights price levels where large groups of holders originally…

4 / 15

What Happens if Bitcoin Fails to Break Resistance?. Despite the encouraging bottom signals, the market is not yet out of danger.

5 / 15

Market Structure Still Shows Strength. Despite the near-term pressure, Bitcoin’s broader structure remains healthy.

6 / 15

The Path Ahead: One Barrier Determines the Trend. At the moment, Bitcoin’s fate hinges on one key level.

7 / 15

Bitcoin is entering a pivotal moment in its 2025 market cycle. After slipping nearly 4% within 24 hours and rebounding above $102,000, the world’s leading cryptocurrency is…

8 / 15

For now, Bitcoin remains inside a long-standing ascending channel that has guided price behavior since April.

9 / 15

The current bounce reflects the same pattern seen during previous cycle reset points. However, whether this reaction marks a true trend reversal depends on what comes next —…

10 / 15

A key on-chain indicator supporting the bottom thesis is the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric. NUPL recently dropped to around 0.

11 / 15

This creates a compelling parallel: once again, Bitcoin is bouncing near the lower end of its ascending channel just as NUPL dips into its traditional bottom zone.

12 / 15

Still, while this setup lays the groundwork for a recovery, Bitcoin faces one major obstacle directly ahead — a powerful supply cluster that is blocking its path to a new uptrend.

13 / 15

This is the “ridge” Bitcoin must clear before a true recovery can begin.

14 / 15

Notably, this resistance band also aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $109,683 — often considered one of the most important resistance lines in technical…

15 / 15

To confirm a breakout from the bottom, Bitcoin needs a daily close above $109,683. A more secure confirmation comes at $112,652, which corresponds to the 0.786 Fibonacci level.

The Currency Analytics

Want the full story?