Bitcoin News

Story: Bitcoin Closes June Below 200-Week Moving Average, Bears Watch Key Levels

By Steven Anderson

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What the 200-Week Average Actually Means Here. In prior bear markets — and traders who've been around long enough remember this well — staying…

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Historical Cycles Point to More Caution. Look back at 2018 and 2019. Or the stretch through 2022.

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Traders Watch for Any Sign of a Shift. Right now, the market is basically in wait-and-see mode.

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June wasn't kind to Bitcoin. The month ended with the coin above its realized price but still stuck under the 200-week moving average — and that gap is making a lot of traders…

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The realized price is basically the average cost basis for everyone holding Bitcoin right now. Closing above it sounds like good news on the surface.

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In prior bear markets — and traders who've been around long enough remember this well — staying under the 200-week moving average for extended stretches was pretty much a sign…

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It's not that the realized price doesn't matter. It does. Some analysts see it as a floor of sorts — a level where, historically, sellers start running out of steam because most…

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The gap between those two metrics — realized price below, 200-week average above — is kind of the whole story right now.

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Look back at 2018 and 2019. Or the stretch through 2022. In both cases, Bitcoin spent significant time above its realized price while still trading under the 200-week moving…

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Related: AI Open-Source Faces Challenges Similar to Bitcoins 2014 Struggles

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The crypto community is split on what comes next. Some see the realized price support as a signal that the worst is probably behind us.

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Unclear what that catalyst would even be. Macro conditions, institutional flows, regulatory shifts — all of it could move the needle.

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Right now, the market is basically in wait-and-see mode. Traders are watching whether Bitcoin can build momentum off the realized price support and make a serious run at the…

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But that hasn't happened yet. And until it does, the bear case stays on the table.

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Read also: Citi Cuts Bitcoin Target 27% as 2.6 Trillion SHIB Exits Exchanges

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