Bitcoin News

Story: Bitcoin Drops Below Key 365-Day MA — Analysts Warn of Bear Market Risk

By MikeT

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Bitcoin’s Biggest Warning Signal Since 2022. Bitcoin fell nearly 5% on Tuesday, breaking beneath the long-term MA level that has historically…

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Why the 365-Day MA Matters. The 365-day Moving Average acts as a long-term trend gauge for Bitcoin, smoothing out volatility…

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Historical Context: Support Turned Resistance. During the last bull market, the 365-day MA acted as a critical support zone on multiple occasions.

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On-Chain Metrics Confirm Rising Risk. Data from Glassnode also supports this bearish outlook.

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Investor Sentiment Turns Cautious. Market sentiment has shifted quickly since the breakdown.

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The Path Forward. For now, the 365-day MA around $102,063 remains the level to watch.

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Bitcoin’s price has slipped below its 365-day moving average (MA) for the first time since 2022 — a development analysts say could mark the start of a new bear market phase if…

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Bitcoin fell nearly 5% on Tuesday, breaking beneath the long-term MA level that has historically separated bull cycles from bearish downturns.

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“Bitcoin’s price is now below its 365-day Moving Average,” said Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, on X (formerly Twitter).

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Moreno’s analysis shows the 365-day MA currently sits around $102,063, a level Bitcoin must reclaim swiftly to avoid deeper declines.

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The 365-day Moving Average acts as a long-term trend gauge for Bitcoin, smoothing out volatility and revealing underlying market direction.

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Technical data confirms this pattern. When Bitcoin fell below the 365-day MA in late 2022, attempts to reclaim it in March 2023 failed, leading to a year-long decline.

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Now, with prices once again under the 365-day MA, analysts fear a repeat scenario. “If Bitcoin doesn’t move back above it soon, the probability of an extended correction…

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A similar bounce occurred in April 2025, when market volatility spiked following U.S. trade tariff announcements under President Trump.

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However, breaking decisively below it — as seen this week — flips that same level into resistance, making it harder for Bitcoin to recover in the short term.

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