Crypto Market Movers

Story: Bitcoin, Ethereum Rally Seen as “Halfway” Point Amid Year-End Optimism

By Pankaj K

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Bitcoin and Ethereum Defy the September Slump. Historically, September has been one of the weakest months for crypto markets.

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Options Traders Bet on Higher Year-End Prices. Options market data reflects the optimism surrounding both BTC and ETH.

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Federal Reserve Policy as a Key Catalyst. A major factor driving bullish sentiment is the expectation of monetary easing by the U.S.

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Ethereum’s Supply Crisis Adds Fuel to the Fire. Beyond macroeconomic factors, Ethereum is facing structural shifts that could amplify its price…

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Bitcoin Outlook: Strong Finish Expected. Bitcoin’s trajectory appears similarly bullish. Analysts highlight that BTC tends to perform…

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Investor Takeaway: Halfway Through the Rally. While risks remain — including potential sell-offs triggered by macro shocks or profit-taking —…

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Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are showing resilience despite September’s historically bearish trend, with analysts and options traders pointing to a potential year-end push.

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Historically, September has been one of the weakest months for crypto markets. Yet, Bitcoin has managed a 6% gain this month, while Ethereum has risen about 4%, according to…

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Bitcoin briefly climbed above $116,000 earlier this week before retracing slightly to around $115,680.

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Sean Dawson, head of research at on-chain options platform Derive, noted that while volatility could increase in the coming weeks, the broader trend remains bullish.

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Options market data reflects the optimism surrounding both BTC and ETH. Call options — bets on higher prices — currently outnumber put options by a ratio of nearly 2.

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For Ethereum, probability models from options data suggest a 40% chance ETH ends 2025 above $5,000, with a 20% chance of surpassing $6,000.

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Dawson described the rally as only “halfway” complete, adding that supportive macro conditions and investor positioning point to more gains ahead.

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Recent data from prediction platform Polymarket shows that the odds of three rate cuts before the end of 2025 have surged from 22% to 49% in just two weeks.

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“Macro is turning extremely favorable,” Dawson explained. “Crypto is highly sensitive to monetary policy, and easing cycles typically provide a strong tailwind for digital assets.”

The Currency Analytics

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