Bitcoin News

Story: Bitcoin Eyes Breakout in H2 2025 Amid Fed Shift and Whale Accumulation

By Julie Binoche

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Cautious Optimism Amid Macroeconomic Uncertainty. Much of Bitcoin’s price action this year has been shaped by speculation about the U.S.

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On-Chain Signals Reveal Smart Money Accumulation. Beyond macro speculation, Bitcoin’s on-chain metrics reveal a powerful accumulation phase that…

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Consolidation or Springboard?. So far, Bitcoin has been locked below its previous high of $109,000, with price action largely…

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Conclusion. While uncertainty still clouds the broader market, Bitcoin is showing signs of underlying strength.

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Bitcoin [BTC] has spent most of mid-2025 in a holding pattern, consolidating within a tight range and frustrating both bulls and bears.

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Yet, the language from Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at a possible policy shift later this year.

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A historical lens supports this outlook. In Q4 2024, Bitcoin staged a powerful rally from $89,000 to over $109,000, tracking closely with the Fed’s three consecutive rate cuts.

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Adding fuel to this fire is a sharp uptick in Open Interest (OI) on Bitcoin Futures contracts. In recent days, OI spiked 3.4%, a sign that leverage is returning to the market.

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Beyond macro speculation, Bitcoin’s on-chain metrics reveal a powerful accumulation phase that could be laying the groundwork for the next rally.

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Roughly $7.5 billion in BTC is changing hands daily, with the average transaction size hovering around $36,200.

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Complementing this trend is a drop in exchange inflows, particularly to Binance. CryptoQuant data shows that both whale and retail deposits are at cyclical lows.

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So far, Bitcoin has been locked below its previous high of $109,000, with price action largely moving sideways amid conflicting macro and technical cues.

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The technical base being built at current levels could allow Bitcoin to rally past $110,000 and establish a new leg higher, particularly if rate cut expectations become reality…

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