Bitcoin News

Story: Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Faces Test: Analyst Predicts 100 Days Ahead

By Pankaj K

1 / 15

The Narrative: Is Bitcoin’s Cycle Theory Dead?. Since Bitcoin’s inception, analysts have observed a recurring four-year pattern tied closely to…

2 / 15

Analyst Revives the Four-Year Cycle Debate. In an August 16 post on X, a market analyst under the pseudonym Frank Fetter revived the debate,…

3 / 15

Why This Cycle Looks Different. While historical comparisons provide a roadmap, the current cycle is fundamentally different:

4 / 15

What Happens if the Cycle Holds?. If the cycle theory plays out, Bitcoin could see its cycle top within the next 100 days.

5 / 15

What If the Cycle Breaks?. On the other hand, if Bitcoin continues rallying past the 100-day window, it would be strong…

6 / 15

Key Takeaways for Investors

7 / 15

Final Thoughts. Bitcoin stands at a fascinating crossroads. If the four-year cycle is still alive, the next 100…

8 / 15

The age-old question of whether Bitcoin’s four-year cycle still holds true is once again making waves in the crypto community.

9 / 15

But the start of Bitcoin ETFs in 2024 fundamentally changed the market landscape. These financial products introduced a wave of institutional investors, reshaping trading…

10 / 15

In an August 16 post on X, a market analyst under the pseudonym Frank Fetter revived the debate, posing a critical question: what if the cycle is still alive?

11 / 15

Fetter shared an analysis using the Bitcoin Index Performance Since Cycle Low, a chart comparing BTC’s growth in previous cycles (2015–2018, 2018–2022) with the ongoing 2022–2026…

12 / 15

2015–2018 cycle: BTC surged 110x from the bottom, peaking 1,068 days after the cycle low.

13 / 15

2022–2026 cycle (current): BTC is up 7.3x from the 2022 bottom, with 997 days passed since the low.

14 / 15

If history repeats, this cycle could reach its peak within the next 100 days — putting BTC on track for another surge before topping out.

15 / 15

ETF Demand – Spot Bitcoin ETFs have created a new channel for institutional investment, bringing billions in inflows but also reducing volatility by smoothing out buying patterns.

The Currency Analytics

Want the full story?