Bitcoin News

Story: Bitcoin’s October Outlook Suggests 50% Odds of Reaching $140,000

By MikeT

1 / 15

Simulation Based on Historical Data. Peterson explained that his model relies on Bitcoin’s daily price data from 2015 onward.

2 / 15

Why October Is Historically Bullish for Bitcoin. October has long been known among traders as “Uptober,” reflecting Bitcoin’s tendency to post…

3 / 15

Analysts See Further Upside for Bitcoin. While Peterson’s analysis offers a data-driven probability of Bitcoin reaching $140,000 this…

4 / 15

Data-Driven Forecasts vs. Market Reality. While historical models can provide useful insights into potential price outcomes, Peterson also…

5 / 15

Broader Market Confidence Remains High. Despite short-term volatility, confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory remains strong.

6 / 15

Bitcoin (BTC) could end October with a new record high of $140,000, according to recent simulations by economist Timothy Peterson.

7 / 15

In a post shared on X (formerly Twitter) on Wednesday, Peterson said, “There is a 50% chance Bitcoin finishes the month above $140k.

8 / 15

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $122,000, following a mild pullback after touching an all-time high of $126,200 earlier in the week, according to data from…

9 / 15

Peterson explained that his model relies on Bitcoin’s daily price data from 2015 onward. The simulations, he said, are grounded in hundreds of iterations designed to replicate…

10 / 15

“Every projection follows the same logic — price changes that match Bitcoin’s real historical, repetitive volatility and rhythm,” Peterson said.

11 / 15

Bitcoin opened October at approximately $116,500, meaning that reaching $140,000 would represent a 20.

12 / 15

Peterson attributes October’s strong seasonal trend to institutional liquidity cycles. “Markets are not random in the short term,” he explained.

13 / 15

This cyclical behavior often brings renewed buying activity from institutional investors and funds, contributing to increased market momentum.

14 / 15

While Peterson’s analysis offers a data-driven probability of Bitcoin reaching $140,000 this month, market sentiment among crypto analysts remains broadly bullish.

15 / 15

Popular analyst Jelle shared that Bitcoin is retesting its previous all-time highs and could be preparing for another move upward. “It’s definitely over for bears.

The Currency Analytics

Want the full story?