Bitcoin News

Story: Bitcoin’s Volatility Hits Historic Lows: Is a Major Move Coming

By Julie Binoche

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A Look at Previous Instances of Low Volatility. To understand the significance of this current volatility drop, it’s helpful to look back at how…

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Implied Volatility: The Calm Before the Storm?. Along with realized volatility, Bitcoin’s implied volatility (IV) is also showing signs of…

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What’s Next for Bitcoin’s Price?. Given the low realized and implied volatility in the short term, Bitcoin may be setting up for a…

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Conclusion: A Major Move on the Horizon?. Bitcoin’s recent drop in short-term volatility has certainly caught the attention of analysts and…

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Bitcoin’s short-term volatility has dropped to levels not seen in years, prompting many to speculate that a major market move could be just around the corner.

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To understand the significance of this current volatility drop, it’s helpful to look back at how Bitcoin has reacted to similar situations in the past.

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Similarly, in October 2024, Bitcoin’s volatility hit another low at 22.88%, while the price was around $63,000.

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Now, as Bitcoin’s short-term volatility approaches these historic levels once again, many analysts are wondering whether the asset is setting up for another major move.

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Along with realized volatility, Bitcoin’s implied volatility (IV) is also showing signs of decreased market expectations in the short term.

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However, despite the short-term calm, Bitcoin’s longer-term implied volatility remains elevated. The 3-month IV stands at 53.1%, and the 6-month IV is at 56.25%.

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At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading just below the $99,000 mark, up by 2% over the past day.

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As Bitcoin attempts to reclaim the $100,000 level, the market remains on edge, with investors closely monitoring the asset’s next move.

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