Stock Market
By Maheen Hernandez
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Why the SEC Route Changes Everything. Kalshi and Polymarket sit under CFTC oversight. Cboe's proposed contracts would live under SEC…
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What Cboe Is Actually Competing For. It's worth being clear about what Cboe is chasing here. The prediction market space has grown fast.
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Metrics, Companies, and What Gets Traded. The filing targets more than 100 metrics across 23 companies.
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Cboe Global Markets wants to let traders bet on iPhone shipments. And Nvidia data center sales. And SpaceX revenue.
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The proposal covers more than 100 metrics pulled from 23 major companies. We're talking granular stuff: not whether Apple stock goes up after earnings, but whether iPhone…
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That regulatory distinction matters a lot.
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Kalshi and Polymarket sit under CFTC oversight. Cboe's proposed contracts would live under SEC rules — which means central clearing through the OCC and, if approved, distribution…
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That's a big deal for retail access. Prediction markets have struggled to break into mainstream brokerage workflows.
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Cboe isn't coming at this cold, either. The exchange already launched its Cboe Predicts initiative, which brought binary options on the S&P 500 to retail investors.
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Related: Euro Bond Yields Climb as ECBs Sintra Stance Rattles Rate-Cut Bets
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And that version has some real advantages. OCC clearing is a serious credibility boost. The broker distribution network is enormous compared to anything a standalone prediction…
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But the SEC's decision is genuinely unclear at this point. The agency hasn't exactly been rushing to approve novel product structures lately.
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The OCC clearing piece helps that argument. So does the brokerage distribution angle — it's harder to run a fraud when Charles Schwab is the intermediary.
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The filing targets more than 100 metrics across 23 companies. The source didn't specify the full list beyond SpaceX revenue, Nvidia's data center sales, and Apple iPhone…
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Read also: Solanas Tokenized Assets Push Raises Interest Amid Unclear Details
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