stable coins

Story: Circle’s $1.4 Billion Coinbase Bill Eats Half of USDC Revenue

By Sydney TheCMO

1 / 15

The Coinbase Agreement Comes Up for Renewal. The deal at the center of all this dates to August 2023.

2 / 15

Hyperliquid's AQAv2 Model Catches JPMorgan's Eye. Then there's Hyperliquid. The decentralized trading platform has its own native stablecoin, USDH,…

3 / 15

Circle's Trust Bank Approval Adds Some Leverage. Circle did get some good news on the regulatory front.

4 / 15

Circle paid out $1.4 billion in distribution costs tied to Coinbase last year. That's not a rounding error — it's basically half the company's income gone before anything else…

5 / 15

The $1.4 billion figure, up sharply from $924.5 million the year before, ate through roughly 51% of Circle's total revenue and reserve income for 2025.

6 / 15

The deal at the center of all this dates to August 2023. Circle and Coinbase put a collaboration agreement in place then, and it's set to expire — or get renegotiated — before…

7 / 15

Coinbase is still the primary centralized distributor for USDC. That's not changing tomorrow.

8 / 15

The core issue is pretty simple: Circle earns income on the reserves backing USDC, and it has to share a lot of that income with the platforms that distribute the stablecoin.

9 / 15

Then there's Hyperliquid. The decentralized trading platform has its own native stablecoin, USDH, which hasn't come close to matching USDC's liquidity.

10 / 15

More context: Hyperliquid Joins Circle and Coinbase in a Deal That Squeezes USDCs Revenue Model

11 / 15

JPMorgan flagged the Hyperliquid model as a potential earnings concern for both Circle and Coinbase. It's not hard to see why.

12 / 15

And it's not a hypothetical. The AQAv2 framework is live. The question is whether it spreads.

13 / 15

Circle did get some good news on the regulatory front. The company received approval to establish a national trust bank, which gives it a credential most competitors don't have.

14 / 15

Still, the pressure is real. If major exchanges start demanding Open USD-style revenue sharing, or if more DeFi platforms build out Hyperliquid-style frameworks, Circle's current…

15 / 15

Read also: Mizuho Keeps Circle at Neutral as USDC Loses Ground to Stablecoin Rivals

The Currency Analytics

Want the full story?