Other-News

Story: CLARITY Act Slides Toward 2027 as Thune Skips Cloture and Kalshi Bets Shift

By Bruce Buterin

1 / 15

What Killed the Momentum This Week. The Senate's August 4 agenda didn't include the CLARITY Act. Not even close.

2 / 15

Tribal Gaming and the CFTC Fight. During a Senate Indian Affairs Committee roundtable, Tehassi Hill from the Indian Gaming…

3 / 15

Industry Keeps Moving Without Washington. Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan weighed in, and his read is basically: the industry…

4 / 15

Senate Majority Leader John Thune didn't move. That's the whole story, really. Before the August recess, Thune failed to file a cloture motion on the CLARITY Act, and now the…

5 / 15

Prediction markets felt it immediately. On Tuesday, a Kalshi contract tracking the odds of the CLARITY Act taking effect before July 1, 2027, dropped eight percentage points —…

6 / 15

The Senate's August 4 agenda didn't include the CLARITY Act. Not even close. No cloture motion was filed by the end of Tuesday's session, and without one, the procedural clock…

7 / 15

Part of the problem is a continuing resolution that's been eating up floor time and political capital.

8 / 15

During a Senate Indian Affairs Committee roundtable, Tehassi Hill from the Indian Gaming Association made the case that sports and casino prediction markets should fall under…

9 / 15

It's a real tension. Tribal nations have long-standing governance rights over gaming on their lands, and any legislation that quietly expands CFTC jurisdiction could cut into…

10 / 15

Related: Kalshi CEO Blames Casino Lobby as New York Seeks $100K Per Event Market Penalty

11 / 15

And he's probably right that the industry won't stall waiting for Congress. Crypto markets have spent years operating under agency rules and enforcement interpretations rather…

12 / 15

But the longer-term stakes are real. The Act was supposed to draw a cleaner line between which digital assets are securities and which are commodities.

13 / 15

That uncertainty has costs. Legal bills. Compliance overhead. Deals that don't get done because the regulatory picture isn't clear enough to satisfy institutional partners.

14 / 15

Related: Trump Meme Coins $3.8 Billion Wipeout Puts Senators on SECs Doorstep

15 / 15

Right now, traders say 2027. Maybe late 2027. The 65% probability for passage before January 1, 2028, is the market's best guess at a finish line, and even that number carries a…

The Currency Analytics

Want the full story?