Crypto Exchanges

Story: Coinbase Q2 Earnings Hit July 30 With $152 Billion Volume Miss Looming

By Sakamoto Nashi

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JPMorgan Cuts Target, Analysts Trim Forecasts Across the Board. JPMorgan recently slashed its price target on Coinbase from $283 down to $196.

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Deribit Deal, Clarity Act, and the Diversification Bet. Coinbase's acquisition of Deribit was meant to beef up the company's derivatives business.

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What the Earnings Call Actually Needs to Deliver. The numbers are probably going to be soft. Most people already know that.

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Wall Street isn't feeling great about Coinbase right now. The company reports Q2 earnings today, July 30, and the numbers analysts are penciling in don't look pretty — roughly $1.

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Barclays put Q2 trading volume at around $152 billion. That's well below the broader Street consensus sitting near $178 billion.

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JPMorgan recently slashed its price target on Coinbase from $283 down to $196. The bank pointed to weaker trading activity and uncertainty around Coinbase's USDC revenue-sharing…

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Citi dropped its target too, moving from $400 to $235, but kept a Buy rating. The logic there is basically that if trading picks up and regulatory clarity arrives, Coinbase…

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Subscription and services revenue is one of the cleaner spots in the quarter. Analysts expect that segment to generate around $601 million — right in line with management's own…

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See also: Gumi and SBI Launch ¥3 Billion Crypto Fund Targeting Bitcoin and Major Altcoins

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Armstrong is also pushing hard for the Clarity Act, a legislative proposal that would split crypto oversight between the SEC and CFTC.

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Piper Sandler flagged something interesting: prediction markets and perpetual futures could be bigger than people think, partly fueled by World Cup activity.

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Bitcoin and Ethereum did hit some highs earlier in the year, which sounds good — but those moves actually dampened retail participation rather than boosting it.

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The numbers are probably going to be soft. Most people already know that. What investors actually want from the call is forward guidance — what does trading demand look like…

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See also: Stablecoins Dominate as Brazils Crypto Transfers Face New Restrictions

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William Blair thinks recovery comes in the latter part of 2026. That's the bull case. The bear case is that regulatory delays drag on, trading stays muted, and Coinbase's…

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