Altcoins News

Story: Dogecoin Faces Its Toughest Q4 in Years — Can a Late Bounce Save 2025

By Sakamoto Nashi

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Historical Strength Meets 2025 Weakness. Dogecoin’s Q4s have often been characterized by rallies — 14.2% in 2022, 44.

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Holder Confidence Weakens. Dogecoin’s HODL Waves, a metric used to track how long investors hold their coins, show that…

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Whales Are Divided. Large holders of Dogecoin, particularly wallets holding 10 million to 100 million DOGE, have been…

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Volume Breakdown and Derivatives Pressure. Beyond on-chain movements, trading volume tells another story.

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Technical Setup: $0.17 Holds the Key. Technically, Dogecoin still sits within a long-term ascending channel that began in April 2025.

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Market Sentiment and Future Outlook. While short-term traders might see opportunities in a bounce, the broader trend for Dogecoin…

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Conclusion. Dogecoin’s Q4 story so far is one of resilience being tested.

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Dogecoin’s fourth quarter, traditionally one of its strongest, is turning into its toughest in years. The popular cryptocurrency trades near $0.

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Dogecoin’s Q4s have often been characterized by rallies — 14.2% in 2022, 44.2% in 2023, and a staggering 176.6% in 2024. Yet, 2025 is breaking the pattern.

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The coin’s current weakness is also psychological — after a strong early-year run, profit-taking among whales and traders has increased, leading to lower confidence heading into…

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Dogecoin’s HODL Waves, a metric used to track how long investors hold their coins, show that long-term confidence is fading. Short-term holders, who once made up 17.

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As coins move from cold wallets into circulation, the selling pressure increases. On-chain analysts note that whales are playing a decisive role in shaping this Q4 downturn.

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Large holders of Dogecoin, particularly wallets holding 10 million to 100 million DOGE, have been selling since mid-October — cutting their holdings from 24.61 billion to 20.

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This imbalance between whale cohorts means there’s no unified buying pressure to support the price.

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Beyond on-chain movements, trading volume tells another story. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator, which measures whether volume supports price moves, has broken below its…

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