Crypto Exchanges

Story: Gemini Bleeds $107.7 Million in Q2 as Prediction Markets Bring In Just $500K

By Evie Vavasseur

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Workforce Cuts and a $100 Million Lifeline. Gemini's been through a rough stretch internally. The company cut roughly a third of its workforce…

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Prediction Markets: Big Ambitions, Tiny Numbers. Cameron Winklevoss, Gemini's president, has been vocal about prediction markets as the company's…

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What the Next Quarter Has to Prove. The next quarterly report is going to matter. A lot.

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Gemini lost $107.7 million in the second quarter of 2026. That's four straight quarterly losses since the exchange went public on Nasdaq in September 2025.

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Assets on the platform dropped 54% to $8.4 billion. Declining crypto valuations hit hard, and institutional money walked out the door. The stock, which opened at $45.

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Gemini's been through a rough stretch internally. The company cut roughly a third of its workforce over the past year and lost key executives along the way.

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The broader exchange business isn't exactly thriving across the industry right now. Platforms like eToro, Robinhood, and Coinbase all reported declining crypto revenues in the…

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Prediction markets brought in $500,000 last quarter. That's roughly 1% of Gemini's total revenue.

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The regulatory groundwork took years. Gemini spent five years securing a Designated Contract Market license from the CFTC, which came through in December 2025.

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More context: Gemini Credit Card Pulls In $16.2M as Exchange Volume Craters 66%

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And it's not just prediction markets. Gemini's been rebuilding its product lineup for the better part of nine months, pushing toward what management calls a "super app for the…

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Whether a crypto exchange can successfully become a super app is genuinely unclear. It's a crowded space, and Gemini's brand took hits during the bear market years.

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The next quarterly report is going to matter. A lot. Prediction markets need to show they can grow past a rounding error in the revenue column. Credit cards need to find traction.

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Winklevoss's forecast that prediction markets could rival traditional capital markets isn't crazy as a long-term thesis.

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See also: Gemini Bleeds $108M in Q2 as Trading Volume Crashes by Two-Thirds

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