Regulations
By James Thorp
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Split Court Rulings Leave Kalshi in Limbo. The legal picture for Kalshi is messy right now. In April, a federal court sided with Kalshi…
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NFL Pushes Back, Tribes Want Out. The regulatory heat isn't just coming from state attorneys general.
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What the Regulatory Patchwork Means for Prediction Markets. Prediction markets have grown fast. The basic idea — letting people trade on the outcome of…
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Kalshi won't let users bet on its own legal fate. The prediction market platform has quietly blocked any wagering on whether New Jersey's lawsuit against it reaches the U.S.
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It's a rare moment of self-restraint for a platform that's spent the past year fighting regulators in court and winning — at least some of the time.
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The legal picture for Kalshi is messy right now. In April, a federal court sided with Kalshi against New Jersey, ruling that prediction markets fall under federal oversight —…
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New Jersey didn't take the April loss quietly. The state has now petitioned the U.S. Supreme Court to weigh in on whether prediction markets can legally offer sports wagers…
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And while Kalshi waits, Michigan moved fast. The state slapped Kalshi with a ban on offering event contracts and attached a $500,000 daily fine for any violation.
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The regulatory heat isn't just coming from state attorneys general. The NFL has been vocal — and specific — about its concerns.
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And then there's the tribal angle. American Indian tribes have also pushed back, expressing their desire for Kalshi and platforms like Polymarket to stop operating on their lands.
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So Kalshi is dealing with federal courts, state regulators in at least two states, the NFL, and tribal governments — all at once. That's a lot of fronts.
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Related: New Jersey Urges Supreme Court to Clarify Regulation of Prediction Markets
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The platform's decision to block bets on its own Supreme Court outcome fits into this broader posture of careful navigation.
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Prediction markets have grown fast. The basic idea — letting people trade on the outcome of real-world events, from elections to sports to economic data — has attracted serious…
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The Nevada ruling and the New Jersey federal ruling can't both be right in the long run. Someone has to settle it.
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