Bitcoin News

Story: MicroStrategy’s STRC Preferred Stock Trades $11 Below What Ex-Goldman Analyst Says…

By Bruce Buterin

1 / 15

Why the 14% Yield Is Misleading. The headline yield on STRC looks attractive — around 14% — but Oei says that number is basically a…

2 / 15

The 29-Year Dividend Math. Here's where Oei's model gets interesting. He calculates that Bitcoin only needs to grow by 3.

3 / 15

Conflicts, Skeptics, and Open Questions. Worth flagging: Oei is involved with Treasury, a European Bitcoin treasury firm.

4 / 15

Khing Oei thinks the market is getting STRC badly wrong. The former Goldman Sachs credit investor says MicroStrategy's preferred stock is mispriced by roughly 13%, and he's put a…

5 / 15

That's not a small gap. And Oei's case for it is pretty specific.

6 / 15

The headline yield on STRC looks attractive — around 14% — but Oei says that number is basically a trap for investors who don't read the fine print.

7 / 15

The stock dropped 25% below par during a Bitcoin selloff in June, which made the yield look even juicier on paper.

8 / 15

His approach is to treat STRC more like a bond — value it on actual cash payouts, not speculative perpetual payments that may or may not materialize.

9 / 15

MicroStrategy holds 843,775 Bitcoin, currently valued at $54 billion, plus $3 billion in cash. But that pool isn't all available to STRC holders.

10 / 15

Here's where Oei's model gets interesting. He calculates that Bitcoin only needs to grow by 3.4% annually to sustain those dividends indefinitely.

11 / 15

More context: SpaceX Stock Dips Below IPO Price Amid Investor Concerns

12 / 15

Discount 29 years of payments at 12%, and you get $96.30. The market is paying $85.29, which Oei says implies only 17 years of dividend coverage.

13 / 15

Some investors apparently agree. A survey by BitcoinTreasuries found that more than half of STRC holders bought the stock at its dip below par. That's not panic selling behavior.

14 / 15

Bitcoin's price is probably the single biggest variable in all of this. Oei's sensitivity analysis is pretty clear: if Bitcoin hits $80,000, STRC could return to $100.

15 / 15

Worth flagging: Oei is involved with Treasury, a European Bitcoin treasury firm. If STRC's mispricing gets recognized and the stock re-rates higher, he likely benefits.

The Currency Analytics

Want the full story?