Altcoins News

Story: Polymarket’s Geoblock Problem: Allium Data Catches US Users Betting Anyway

By Steven Anderson

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What Allium's Data Actually Shows. Allium didn't publish a breakdown of exact bet volumes from US users. That detail's missing.

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Regulators Are Going to Notice. It's hard to see how this doesn't eventually land on a regulator's desk.

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Demand That Didn't Go Away. Here's the thing about geoblocking as a strategy: it works on the compliant and the casual.

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US users are getting through. Despite Polymarket's geoblocking setup, fresh data from Allium shows American participants are actively placing bets on the prediction market…

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The numbers don't lie, even if the methods behind them aren't fully clear yet. Allium's data puts real weight behind what many in the crypto and prediction market space have long…

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Polymarket runs markets on political events and outcomes. It's built a global following precisely because those markets are genuinely interesting — they move fast, they reflect…

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And Polymarket hasn't said anything publicly about the findings. No statement, no clarification, no plan of action — at least not yet.

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It's hard to see how this doesn't eventually land on a regulator's desk. The whole point of geoblocking in this context is regulatory compliance — telling US authorities that the…

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Prediction markets have had a complicated relationship with US regulators for years. The CFTC has historically been skeptical, and platforms operating in this space have had to…

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Read also: Frances Interior Minister Targets Crypto Wrench Attacks with 3-Part Crackdown

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The Allium findings put fresh pressure on that reality. Regulatory bodies may well look at this data and decide that current enforcement strategies need rethinking.

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What's particularly tricky is the transparency gap. There's no detailed picture of how many bets US users are placing, what markets they're hitting, or how long this has been…

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Here's the thing about geoblocking as a strategy: it works on the compliant and the casual. It doesn't do much against users who actually want in.

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That's a broader industry issue, not just a Polymarket one. Crypto-adjacent platforms across the board have run into the same dynamic.

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More context: Republican Senators Target Foreign AI Threats With New Security Bill After GENIUS Act

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