Finance News

Story: US Diesel Prices Soar to Record $5.82 Amid Thin Inventories and Iran War Costs

By Jean-Luc Maracon

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What happened. Diesel just broke a record nobody wanted to see broken. US prices hit $5.

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The historical context. Energy shocks have a way of arriving, doing damage, and then getting written off as anomalies —…

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Why it matters. Transportation costs are baked into the price of nearly everything Americans buy.

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What to watch. A few things are worth tracking closely over the next several weeks.

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Diesel just broke a record nobody wanted to see broken. US prices hit $5.820 per gallon, clearing the previous peak set in June 2022.

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The Iran conflict is making everything worse. War-related energy costs have piled a $97.5 billion burden onto consumers since the fighting started.

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Crack spreads — the margin refiners earn turning crude into diesel — have topped $100 per barrel. That's a number that would've seemed extreme even a few years ago.

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Energy shocks have a way of arriving, doing damage, and then getting written off as anomalies — until the next one. In 2008, crude oil ran to nearly $150 a barrel.

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The current situation has its own wrinkles. The inventory picture is arguably worse than either of those prior episodes on a seasonal basis — 1982 was the last time stocks were…

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Transportation costs are baked into the price of nearly everything Americans buy. Diesel powers the trucks, trains, and ships that move goods from producers to store shelves.

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That's a problem for the Federal Reserve. The Fed has been trying to wrestle inflation down without tipping the economy into a hard landing.

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Related: Bitcoin Faces 0.8% Drop as U.S.-Iran Strikes Trigger $91M in Long Liquidations

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The EIA report due September 10 will be the first real read on whether distillate inventories are stabilizing or continuing to fall.

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Federal Reserve policy announcements matter here too. Any shift in the interest rate outlook, especially if energy inflation starts feeding into broader CPI readings, could move…

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Read also: Arthur Hayes Declares Ethereum a Smarter Bet Than Bitcoin as BitMEX Closes

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