Altcoins News
By Dan Saada
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Price Stuck Below Key Averages. XRP is trading below its 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages. All of them.
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Critical Levels to Watch. The $1.30 to $1.50 range is everything right now. If XRP can break above $1.
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XRP just hit its calmest stretch in over two years. The 30-day Realized Volatility Index dropped to around 0.42, the lowest reading since 2024.
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The calm is deceptive. XRP has been bleeding since it peaked above $3.00 in mid-2025, and the downtrend hasn't really stopped.
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XRP is trading below its 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages. All of them. That's pretty much the textbook definition of a bearish setup.
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On-chain data doesn't paint a prettier picture. Most XRP holders are underwater right now. The Market Value to Realized Value ratio, or MVRV, is sitting at levels you normally…
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The asset has dropped about 30% over the past year. That's not a correction. That's a sustained downtrend.
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The $1.30 to $1.50 range is everything right now. If XRP can break above $1.50 and actually hold it, that could signal strength.
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See also: Bitcoin Tests $74.7K Breakout Zone as Exchange Reserves Hit Multi-Year Low
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The compression in volatility is what makes this moment interesting. Historically, when XRP's volatility gets this low, sharp price movements tend to follow.
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Technical indicators keep pointing down. XRP remains below those key moving averages, and there's no strong buying presence to change that. If the $1.
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On-chain metrics add weight to the bearish case. The low levels of supply in profit and the stressed MVRV ratio both suggest holders are hurting.
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More context: Solana Drops Cryptic XRP Tweet, Price Jumps 3.4% as Community Goes Wild
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XRP's recent price behavior is weird in the context of its history. The token used to be volatile. Wild swings were normal.
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