Cardano (ADA), the native cryptocurrency of the Cardano blockchain, has reached a critical price level, signaling a potential turning point in its price action. At the time of writing, ADA is trading near $0.65, showing a modest gain of 0.60% over the past 24 hours. However, despite this small uptick, its trading volume has decreased by 30%, which reflects lower investor participation. This decline in volume raises concerns about the potential for further market weakness, particularly in light of recent global economic factors. On April 2, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump declared reciprocal tariffs, leading to increased market uncertainty, which has had ripple effects across the crypto market, including Cardano.

Cardano’s recent price action shows a mixed picture. After the declaration of the tariffs, ADA’s price initially dropped from a key support level but managed to hold above it, preventing further decline. This has been interpreted by technical analysts as a sign of potential bullish momentum if the support at $0.65 continues to hold. A bullish hammer candlestick pattern has formed at this critical support, suggesting that the price could rise if the downward momentum is exhausted. The formation of this pattern indicates a potential reversal, which would mark a shift in market sentiment, from bearish to bullish. If this support level holds and buying pressure increases, ADA could experience a price increase in the short term.

However, the situation is far from clear. If Cardano fails to maintain the $0.65 support and closes a daily candle below $0.615, there is a strong possibility that the price could fall further. A breakdown of this level could lead to a more significant drop, with the next major support appearing at $0.45, representing a 30% decline from current levels. This bearish scenario seems more likely in the short term, especially as ADA is currently trading below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is often seen as an indication of a downtrend.

Despite the bearish price action, there are some positive signs in the on-chain data that suggest investors are beginning to accumulate ADA. Data from on-chain analytics firm Coinglass reveals that exchanges have witnessed a significant outflow of ADA tokens worth $2.10 million in the past 24 hours, indicating that some investors are using the current dip as a buying opportunity. This accumulation could provide a cushion for the price, as investors look to capitalize on lower prices. Furthermore, the current market sentiment, while predominantly bearish, has led to a rise in leveraged positions, with both long and short positions being built. Traders have over-leveraged their positions at $0.636 on the lower side and $0.662 on the upper side, with substantial amounts of capital tied up in both long and short trades. This suggests that the market remains uncertain, with traders positioning themselves for both upward and downward movements.

Looking ahead, Cardano’s price will largely depend on how it reacts to the critical support level at $0.65. If ADA can hold above this level, there could be a chance for a reversal, with potential gains in the short to medium term. The bullish candlestick pattern observed in the daily chart could play a role in triggering buying interest, provided that the support level is not broken. However, if the price falls below $0.615, the outlook becomes more bearish, with a potential drop to $0.45 on the horizon. The next few days will be crucial in determining ADA’s direction. The current price action and on-chain data indicate that while there are risks of further declines, there are also signs of hope for a potential rebound if Cardano can stabilize above key support levels.

In conclusion, Cardano is at a pivotal point in its price trajectory. While the market sentiment is currently bearish, there are technical and on-chain indicators that suggest a potential reversal if the support levels hold. Whether Cardano can break free from its current downtrend will depend on how it reacts to the next few days of trading and whether investor confidence in the token can be restored. For now, ADA investors will need to watch the $0.65 support level closely to gauge the next move.