In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin remains a captivating subject of discussion among enthusiasts and investors. Excitement is brewing in the community as a prominent crypto analyst, known as TechDev, shares insights that hint at a potential massive upward movement for Bitcoin’s price. The driving force behind this anticipation lies in a key indicator closely tied to global liquidity cycles.
For those unfamiliar with the concept, global liquidity cycles are a measure of available financial assets in the market and play a crucial role in shaping asset prices, including cryptocurrencies. TechDev expertly portrays these cycles by comparing the Chinese 10-year bonds (CN10Y) against the US dollar index (DXY), which serves as an indicator of the strength of the US dollar against a basket of other currencies.
In addition, the analyst delves deeper into global liquidity by examining the aggregate major central bank balance sheet, which reflects the money-printing activities of central banks across the globe. The balance sheet’s expansion suggests increased liquidity in the financial system, a vital factor influencing the price movement of assets like Bitcoin.
Based on a chart shared by TechDev, global liquidity seems poised for an uptrend as major central banks continue their efforts to boost economic recovery by increasing their balance sheets. Interestingly, Bitcoin’s price appears to closely mirror the trend of global liquidity, hinting at potential rapid price acceleration in the coming months.
TechDev’s prediction is based on a logarithmic growth curve (LGC), a tool designed to estimate long-term highs and lows for Bitcoin while discounting short-term volatility. If Bitcoin continues on its current trajectory, the LGC points to a possible milestone sometime in or before 2025.
The upper bound of the LGC indicates a potential price range of $100,000 to $140,000 for Bitcoin. However, the analyst emphasizes that this estimate is a soft approximation, subject to the specific parameters and impulse steepness of the LGC. Nevertheless, such a price increase could signify an impressive 380% surge from the current trading price of approximately $29,186.
Despite its ups and downs, Bitcoin has demonstrated resilience, with a marginal decline of 0.68% in the past 24 hours and a modest gain of nearly 0.5% over the past week. Despite being 58% down from its all-time high in November 2021, the cryptocurrency remains a focal point for investors and traders.
TechDev also notes intriguing developments in the altcoin market, with the three-week altcoin market cap chart displaying the tightest compression ever recorded. Additionally, Bitcoin’s Bollinger bands width (BBW) hovers slightly above 0.50, indicating relatively low volatility. Market observers closely monitor BBW as it has historically preceded significant price movements, irrespective of their direction.
Looking back, the chart shared by the analyst shows that previous instances of Bitcoin’s BBW coming close to 0.50 led to full-blown bull markets in the cryptocurrency. As a result, investors and traders are keeping a close eye on these indicators, ready to seize potential market opportunities.
As Bitcoin enthusiasts eagerly await further developments, the crypto community remains cautiously optimistic about the potential for a bullish uptrend. With various market factors at play, including global liquidity cycles, the path ahead for Bitcoin’s price movement is sure to be a captivating journey for the crypto world.
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