Avalanche’s native cryptocurrency, AVAX, has recently demonstrated a noteworthy rebound after experiencing a significant decline in its price. As of January 31, 2025, the token was trading at approximately $34.60, reflecting an impressive 3.05% increase in the last 24 hours. While trading volume and market participation have decreased by about 15%, traders and investors are starting to show increased interest in AVAX, suggesting the possibility of an imminent breakout and a potential rally.
Rising Interest from Traders and Investors
Despite the moderate drop in market participation, key indicators show that AVAX is still attracting considerable attention. According to on-chain analytics firm Coinglass, AVAX’s Open Interest (OI) saw a 6.50% increase in the past 24 hours. This surge in OI suggests that new positions—both long and short—are being built by traders. Additionally, a notable $3.54 million worth of AVAX has been withdrawn from exchanges, signaling accumulation by investors. This increase in demand may further contribute to upward price movement and act as a catalyst for the coin’s rally.
A Bullish Technical Setup
On the technical side, AVAX has formed a bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern on its four-hour chart. This chart pattern is widely regarded as a strong bullish indicator, often preceding a breakout to the upside. Experts are now watching closely to see whether the token can break through the critical $35 resistance level. A successful breakout could trigger an initial rise of 8.50%, pushing the price up to around $38. However, if the bullish trend continues, AVAX may experience a more significant rally, potentially increasing by 25% to reach a price point of $41.50.
Analyzing Market Sentiment and Price Action
Even though AVAX remains below its 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the four-hour chart, signaling that it has been in a downtrend recently, its Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 53. This level indicates that AVAX still has room to climb without reaching overbought conditions. As investor sentiment continues to grow more optimistic, both short-term traders and long-term holders are positioning themselves in anticipation of future price movement.
The recent bullish price action and the growing number of positions being opened on both sides of the market suggest that AVAX could be heading toward a significant move in the near future. If the market continues to see an uptick in buying pressure and fewer sell-offs, AVAX could break free from its current resistance levels and begin a price surge.
The Importance of Technical and On-Chain Metrics
When analyzing AVAX, both technical and on-chain indicators are crucial for predicting future price behavior. The inverted head and shoulders pattern is a clear bullish signal, and the positive movement in open interest further supports the theory of a potential rally. The $35 resistance level is a key point to watch, as breaking through it would open the doors for further gains, with a possible 25% surge taking the price to $41.50.
Conclusion: AVAX’s Outlook
In conclusion, AVAX’s recent price momentum, rising open interest, and bullish chart patterns suggest that the cryptocurrency may be gearing up for a breakout. Although the token is still trading below its 200 EMA, the RSI and other indicators point to a potential rally. If AVAX can surpass its immediate resistance, it could see a significant price increase in the coming days, with a 25% rally possible if the trend continues. Investors and traders are keeping a close eye on this altcoin as it makes its way toward possible price levels that could bring substantial returns.
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