Ripple’s XRP has been showing impressive upward movement, recently climbing to a two-month high of $0.64, marking a significant 19% increase over the past week. As XRP continues to build momentum, many analysts are keeping a close eye on its potential to revisit its year-to-date high of $0.74. With various indicators signaling strength in the market, could XRP be on the verge of another breakout?

Decreasing Selling Pressure Fuels Optimism for XRP

One of the key factors driving Ripple’s upward momentum is the steady decline in selling pressure. According to data from Santiment, XRP’s exchange flow volume has turned negative, a signal that more tokens are being moved off exchanges and into private wallets. As of Tuesday, a substantial 39 million XRP tokens were taken off exchanges, suggesting that holders are less inclined to sell their assets.

This shift away from exchanges is a bullish signal for XRP. When tokens are moved off exchanges, it typically indicates that supply in the market is being restricted. In the context of cryptocurrencies, scarcity often leads to higher prices, as fewer tokens are available for immediate sale. For XRP, this could be a strong indicator that the market is preparing for a price rally.

Rising Open Interest Indicates Bullish Sentiment

In addition to decreasing selling pressure, XRP has also seen an uptick in open interest, which stands at $989 million, up 13% in the past 24 hours. Open interest refers to the total number of outstanding contracts (such as futures or options) that have yet to be settled. When both the price and open interest rise together, it signals that new liquidity is entering the market. This influx of liquidity is often a precursor to further upward movement, reinforcing the case for XRP’s potential to push higher.

Furthermore, the positive funding rate of 0.047% observed on XRP futures contracts suggests that traders are betting on further gains. A positive funding rate means that more traders are taking long positions, expecting the price to rise. This reinforces the overall bullish sentiment surrounding XRP, as it indicates that confidence in the cryptocurrency’s future price action is increasing.

XRP’s Price Potential: Key Levels to Watch

XRP is currently trading at $0.64, and its next significant hurdle appears to be the $0.66 resistance level. This price point has proven challenging for XRP to break above on two separate occasions since July, making it a critical level to watch. If XRP can successfully break through this resistance and retest it as support, the path will likely open up for further price increases.

A successful retest of $0.66 could pave the way for XRP to revisit its year-to-date high of $0.74. Reaching this level would be a significant achievement for Ripple, as it would mark the highest point XRP has hit in 2024 and could lead to further price discovery.

What Happens if XRP Fails to Break $0.66?

While the outlook for XRP remains largely positive, there are potential risks to consider. If XRP fails to break through the $0.66 resistance level and begins to lose momentum, the price could pull back. In such a case, the next support level to watch would be $0.60. If XRP drops below this mark, it could signal that the bullish trend is weakening, which may dampen the market’s optimism.

Such a correction would likely delay XRP’s return to $0.74, but it would not necessarily mean the end of the bullish trend. Instead, it could provide an opportunity for the market to consolidate before another push higher.

What’s Driving the Surge in XRP?

Several factors are fueling XRP’s recent surge. First, there is the ongoing positive sentiment surrounding Ripple’s legal battles, with the company making significant strides in its case against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Investors may be growing more confident in Ripple’s ability to navigate regulatory hurdles, which could further boost the demand for XRP.

Additionally, the overall cryptocurrency market has seen increased institutional interest, particularly with the growing popularity of Ethereum ETFs. As more traditional investors look toward cryptocurrencies, Ripple and XRP stand to benefit, particularly if the broader market continues its bullish trajectory.

Conclusion: XRP’s Path Forward

XRP’s recent price increase, coupled with the decrease in selling pressure and the rise in open interest, suggests a strong bullish outlook for the cryptocurrency. If the momentum continues, XRP could soon challenge its year-to-date high of $0.74, with the $0.66 resistance level being a crucial hurdle. However, if the price fails to break this level and falls below $0.60, the bullish outlook may be delayed.