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XRP slid to around $1.05, off roughly 5% in a single day. Traders aren’t panicking yet, but they’re not exactly buying either.
Bitcoin fell to approximately $63,450 after briefly touching $64,900, and that defensive mood spread pretty much everywhere. XRP caught the worst of it at the lower end of its intraday band, which runs from $1.05 up to $1.09. The broader market is holding its breath ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, and most participants seem content to sit on their hands until there’s something concrete to trade on.
Not a great setup for bulls.
Seven XRP ETFs, and Flows That Haven’t Cracked
Since late 2025, seven U.S. spot XRP ETFs have been live. That’s a meaningful number — seven separate products competing for institutional dollars. What’s interesting right now is that inflows have slowed, but they haven’t flipped negative. No outflows. That’s a subtle but real distinction, and it’s probably the most bullish data point in an otherwise murky picture.
The gap between weak price action and steady ETF demand is basically the central tension for XRP right now. Prices are soft. Institutional money, at least as measured by ETF flows, hasn’t walked away. Whether that divergence closes upward — prices catch up to the demand signal — or downward — ETF flows eventually dry up — is the question nobody can answer cleanly yet.
Bitcoin’s Coinbase premium has gone negative, which means spot buying from U.S. institutions is subdued. XRP tends to underperform during these risk-off stretches. It’s kind of its pattern. But it also tends to snap back faster than most when sentiment shifts. So the ETF stability might matter more than the current price weakness, depending on what the Fed does.
Fed Decision Could Crack the Range Either Way
Most market participants seem to expect no rate change at the upcoming meeting. A 25 basis point hike is still on the table, though, and that possibility alone is enough to keep buyers cautious. Forecasts that called for immediate rate cuts are basically outdated at this point — the data didn’t cooperate.
Some analysts think easing later this year could support an XRP recovery, especially if ETF interest holds. That’s a reasonable read, but it’s contingent on a lot of things going right in sequence.
Resistance sits between $1.18 and $1.20. If buying pressure picks up — and a dovish Fed statement could do that — there’s a path to $1.22, maybe even $1.32. Those aren’t crazy numbers, but they require a real catalyst, not just a neutral announcement. A hawkish surprise, on the other hand, probably drags XRP toward $1.00 or below. The $0.95 to $1.00 zone is where longer-term buyers might step in, but getting there would sting.
The price has been compressing for weeks. That kind of technical setup tends to resolve sharply in one direction. The Fed announcement is the most obvious trigger.
Market Cap Math and an Emerging Alternative
XRP’s market cap sits above $60 billion. That’s not a small number, and it matters for anyone thinking about upside potential. Big market caps need big capital inflows to move the needle. A 20% gain on a $60 billion asset requires a lot more new money than a 20% gain on something much smaller.
Bitcoin Hyper is worth mentioning here — not as a direct comparison, but as context for where some of that speculative appetite might be going. The project had raised nearly $33 million in presales at $0.0136838 per token. It’s built around integrating Bitcoin’s security model with Solana’s technology stack. Whether that combination delivers is unclear, but the fundraising number is real, and it says something about investor appetite for earlier-stage bets when established coins are range-bound.
XRP at $1.05 is a macro trade with a specific thesis: Fed pivots, institutional ETF demand holds, resistance breaks. It’s not a complicated story. But it’s a story that needs the Fed to cooperate.
The technical compression is real. The ETF stability is real. Bitcoin’s negative Coinbase premium is also real, and it’s working against the bulls in the short term. Traders are watching all three simultaneously, and probably weighting the Fed announcement above everything else.
If the statement leans dovish, expect XRP to test $1.18 to $1.20 quickly. If it’s hawkish, $1.05 probably doesn’t hold. The support zone below that is $0.95 to $1.00, and that’s where the longer-term positioning question gets interesting.
Seven ETFs with stable inflows and a price near one-year lows. That’s the setup heading into the announcement.
Hub: XRP price, news, and analysis
Frequently Asked Questions
What price is XRP trading at ahead of the Fed decision?
XRP is trading near $1.05, down roughly 5% in a single day, at the lower end of its intraday range between $1.05 and $1.09.
How many U.S. spot XRP ETFs are currently active?
Seven U.S. spot XRP ETFs have been active since late 2025, and while inflows have slowed, they have not turned into outflows.
What are the key resistance and support levels for XRP right now?
Resistance sits between $1.18 and $1.20, with further upside targets at $1.22 to $1.32. A break below $1.05 could push XRP toward the $0.95 to $1.00 support zone.
