In a week when the broader crypto market turned red, one altcoin quietly attracted investor interest—Celestia (TIA). While Bitcoin (BTC) dropped from $106,000 to $102,000 in response to mounting geopolitical tensions and weakening risk appetite, Celestia faced an 11% decline. Yet, despite the dip, capital kept flowing into TIA, raising eyebrows across the industry.

Recent data shows a surge in both spot and derivatives interest for Celestia, with large investors—often referred to as whales—possibly seeing opportunity where others saw risk. Could this be a sign of a strategic accumulation phase forming at key technical levels?

Big Buyers Step In as TIA Hits Support

Technical analysts have long paid attention to TIA’s descending channel pattern, where previous visits to the lower boundary have often led to rebounds. This same structure appears to be at play again. As Celestia revisited the bottom of this trend, signs of renewed buying started to surface.

According to data from CoinGlass, TIA recorded approximately $401,000 in positive spot exchange netflows over the last 24 hours alone. On a weekly scale, this inflow reached $6.94 million—the highest in over three weeks.

This steady inflow comes despite price weakness, suggesting that long-term investors may be accumulating in anticipation of a potential recovery.

Market Sentiment Holds Up in Derivatives

The bullish sentiment wasn’t limited to spot buyers. On the derivatives front, the Open Interest Weighted Funding Rate remained slightly positive at 0.0002%. Though small, this number indicates that more traders are opening long positions than short ones.

If this figure climbs further, it may point to a growing belief among futures traders that TIA is undervalued at current levels.

This cautious optimism in derivatives aligns with behavior often seen before a price trend reversal—smart money enters quietly while retail sentiment remains muted.

On-Chain Signals Hint at Building Demand

On-chain metrics add more support to the idea of increasing accumulation. TradingView’s Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) Line for TIA has inched higher to 39.85 million. This metric reflects the balance of buying versus selling, and a rising A/D line typically indicates accumulation by investors.

At the same time, the Money Flow Index (MFI) showed an uptick to 32.15. Although it’s still below the neutral level of 50, the upward move suggests that liquidity is beginning to return to the asset.

These developments don’t signal an immediate breakout, but they do hint at a maturing base of support that could fuel a recovery if broader market conditions improve.

Key Levels to Watch: TIA’s Price Map

Technical charts show TIA currently trading near the lower edge of its descending channel—a zone that has triggered rebounds on at least three previous occasions.

If history is any indication, this setup may offer bulls another shot at reclaiming higher levels.

According to Fibonacci Retracement analysis, Celestia will need to break past two key resistance zones for the bullish thesis to gain traction. The first is at $1.606, followed by another barrier at $1.732.

A successful move above these points could clear the path to $1.834—a price that would mark a 30% gain from where TIA trades now.

However, traders should remain cautious. If the price fails to escape the current structure, sideways movement could dominate until new catalysts emerge. And if buying pressure fades, TIA may revisit its support once again.

What’s Fueling This Confidence?

Despite the broader market slowdown and tension surrounding macroeconomic uncertainty, Celestia appears to be attracting patient investors. This could be driven by belief in the project’s long-term value or confidence in previous chart behavior playing out again.

Celestia’s data availability and modular blockchain framework have made it a topic of interest among developers and investors alike. While current price action remains volatile, long-term believers seem unshaken.

What’s also notable is the way TIA’s performance is decoupling—if only slightly—from Bitcoin’s. The fact that it received inflows while BTC declined suggests growing investor independence and possibly, growing trust in the token’s fundamentals.

Conclusion: Is a Breakout on the Horizon or a Pause Before More Pain?

Celestia is at a crossroads. The buying activity and favorable on-chain metrics suggest that whales and some retail participants see value at current levels. However, for a clear bullish breakout, TIA must overcome near-term resistance and maintain positive momentum.

In the meantime, the recent inflows may serve as a cushion, limiting further downside while setting the stage for a potential rebound. If history does repeat itself—and the descending channel pattern holds true—Celestia may once again surprise the market with a strong recovery from its current lows.

For now, all eyes remain on how TIA reacts in the coming days. Will the whales be proven right, or will the rally stall before it even begins?