Ethereum (ETH) is showing signs of potential recovery, with recent market trends suggesting that it might have reached its bottom. Over the past few weeks, Ethereum’s volatility has decreased significantly, and net inflows into the network have been on the rise. These developments, combined with increasing whale accumulation and positive investor sentiment, are fueling speculation that ETH may be preparing for a rebound.
Ethereum’s price volatility peaked at an eye-watering 81.61% in late February, before dropping to 45.87% in the following days. This sharp fluctuation indicates that ETH has been experiencing significant price swings, a common characteristic of markets in correction phases. However, as of late, the volatility has settled to around 15.47%. This reduction suggests that market sentiment is stabilizing, which is often a precursor to a more sustained upward trend.
In the past, Ethereum has shown resilience following periods of high volatility, such as the rally between late 2023 and early 2024, where ETH surged by over 150%. This previous price surge followed a similar pattern of price swings and a subsequent stabilization phase, strengthening the theory that Ethereum could be positioning itself for another rally.
One of the most telling indicators of Ethereum’s potential recovery is the growing activity from whales, or large investors. Over a 24-hour period, whale buy volume on decentralized exchanges (DEXs) reached $9.41 million, outpacing sell volume, which was at $6.17 million. This disparity indicates strong accumulation by larger investors, reflecting confidence in the long-term prospects of Ethereum. Additionally, over six hours, the buying volume stood at $1.73 million, again surpassing the $1.60 million in sell volume. These trends suggest that major players in the market are optimistic about Ethereum’s future.
On top of whale activity, Ethereum has also seen substantial net inflows. As of the past 30 days, net inflows reached 47.35K ETH, while the last seven days saw even more significant accumulation, with 88.89K ETH entering the network. Although there was a small net outflow of -6.53K ETH in the past 24 hours, this is not enough to overshadow the longer-term accumulation trend, which typically precedes a market recovery.
Investor sentiment has been notably positive, especially among large investors and whales. These groups have been increasing their positions in Ethereum despite recent market fluctuations. Ethereum’s market behavior shows a potential bottoming structure, which is often a precursor to price rebounds in the cryptocurrency space.
Despite the positive trends, the market remains cautious, particularly among smaller traders. While retail investors and smaller decentralized exchange traders (SDTs) are also showing buying activity, the volume and sentiment are more modest. The buying volume for smart money (SM) investors was $1.77 million, slightly surpassing the selling volume of $1.96 million, indicating a more cautious approach. For SDTs, the buying volume was $3.21 million, outpacing the selling volume of $2.34 million, showing that there is still some optimism in the market, though not as strong as among the whales.
The presence of significant volatility and the fact that the market remains volatile suggests that the recovery is not guaranteed. There are still concerns about a potential relief bounce, where prices could rise briefly before facing further downward pressure. However, the growing confidence among larger investors is a sign that the bottom may be near, and Ethereum could be positioned to recover in the coming weeks.
In conclusion, Ethereum’s recent market activity, including rising net inflows, strong whale accumulation, and stabilizing volatility, all point toward a potential market bottom. While there are still short-term risks, the longer-term indicators suggest that ETH might be on the verge of a recovery. As the market continues to stabilize, Ethereum’s resilience and growing investor confidence could drive the next phase of its price rally.
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