Solana (SOL) has recently faced a price correction, largely attributed to the massive sale of 65,000 SOL tokens by a major holder, Pump.fun. The tokens, worth approximately $15.23 million, were deposited onto exchanges, triggering a series of market movements. This development raises concerns about Solana’s short-term market trajectory, as SOL’s price has seen a decline of over 8% in the past week.
According to blockchain tracking firm Look on chain, Pump.fun has made a significant deposit of 65,000 SOL tokens to Kraken, further adding to its previous sales activity. In total, Pump.fun has deposited over 798,000 SOL tokens to Kraken, valued at around $154 million. Moreover, the entity has also sold 264.373 SOL for 41.64 million USDC. Since its operations began, Pump.fun has earned approximately 1.5 million SOL, equivalent to $362 million.
When large holders, often known as “whales,” such as Pump.fun sell substantial portions of their holdings, the market tends to react negatively. This has been the case with Solana, as its price has dropped in response to this massive sell-off. The real question now is: how much of an impact will these sales have on the price of SOL in the longer term?
In the aftermath of Pump.fun’s token sales, Solana has faced a correction. From its recent high of $245, SOL dropped to around $243 at the time of writing, marking a 0.82% decline on daily charts. Over the past week, Solana’s price has fallen by 8.28%, signaling bearish sentiment in the market.
This recent dip comes after Solana had seen strong bullish momentum, climbing 33.72% over the past month. However, the recent correction suggests a shift in market sentiment, particularly with the increase in selling pressure from large holders.
Analysis of Solana’s market data reveals a growing dominance of sellers. After reaching an all-time high (ATH) of $264, Solana’s price has significantly retraced, dipping to as low as $221. This shift from bullish to bearish momentum is reflected in technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has been declining, signaling increasing selling pressure.
The moving average (MA) has also crossed into bearish territory, further suggesting that buyers have lost momentum. Additionally, the Relative Vigor Index (RVGI) made a bearish crossover three days ago, confirming that the market sentiment is leaning towards the downside.
Further analysis of the market’s long/short ratio shows that short positions now dominate, accounting for 52% of market positions. This shift indicates that the majority of investors are betting on further price declines, contributing to a more bearish outlook.
Another key indicator of market sentiment is Solana’s Open Interest (OI), which has dropped from $2 billion to $1.5 billion in the past week. Open Interest refers to the total value of contracts held by traders, and a decline suggests that many investors are closing their positions. This reduction in open positions points to a lack of fresh capital entering the market and could signal that investors are hesitant to take new positions in SOL amid the current bearish trend.
As of now, Solana’s market sentiment is predominantly bearish, with multiple technical indicators pointing to a potential further decline in price. If the negative sentiment continues to dominate, Solana could see its price dip to the $220 level. However, if bullish momentum returns and the market finds renewed strength, SOL could attempt to reclaim the $260 resistance level.
In conclusion, while the recent sale of 65,000 SOL tokens by Pump.fun played a part in triggering the market correction, the broader trend suggests increasing bearishness. Investors will be watching closely to see if the market sentiment shifts, either through renewed buying interest or further sales from large holders. Solana’s price will depend on the balance of these forces in the coming weeks.
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