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XRP’s monthly RSI just hit 41.64. That’s a record low — worse than March 2020, when the token cratered to $0.11 during one of crypto’s ugliest sell-offs.
The drop was first flagged by Austin, a well-known figure in the XRP community, who caught the RSI sliding to 42.64 when XRP’s price dipped to $1.18. Since then, things got worse. The token slid further to around $1.11, which puts it roughly 61% below its October 2025 peak of $2.84. That’s a brutal drawdown by any measure, and it’s happening while the broader crypto market is already under serious pressure. Bitcoin is trading near $63,000. Total market cap shed about $330 billion over the past week. It’s not a great backdrop.
What the RSI Reading Actually Means
The monthly RSI reading of 41.64 sounds technical, but the basic point is pretty simple: XRP hasn’t been this weak, by this measure, ever. Not during the 2018 bear market. Not during COVID. The RSI tracks price momentum, and a reading this low on the monthly chart basically means the selling pressure has been relentless over a sustained stretch of time.
Traditionally, an RSI below 30 is considered oversold — the kind of level that sometimes attracts buyers looking for a bounce. XRP isn’t there yet. At 41.64, it’s above that threshold, but the fact that it’s setting an all-time low at this reading is what’s catching attention. The signal matters because of context, not just the number itself.
There’s still a chance the monthly RSI reading shifts before June closes out. If XRP climbs back above $1.30 before month-end, the RSI calculation changes and the current low might not hold as the final print. That’s a meaningful caveat. Whether the token can actually get there is another question entirely.
The 2020 Parallel Traders Keep Bringing Up
The comparison to March 2020 is probably the most relevant historical reference right now. Back then, XRP hit a similar RSI low as prices collapsed. What followed was a significant recovery — the token ran to $1.96 by April 2021, and then kept going, eventually peaking at $3.40 in November 2024. From its October lows during that cycle, XRP appreciated roughly 580%.
That’s the bull case traders are quietly pointing to. The bear case is that past patterns don’t always repeat, and current market conditions are complicated in ways that make a clean analogy hard to draw. Still, the 2020 comparison is basically the only historical precedent anyone has for an XRP monthly RSI this low, so it’s getting a lot of attention.
The token’s current price of around $1.10 to $1.11 puts it back at levels last seen in early February. It’s not a collapse to zero, but it’s a serious retracement, and the market cap numbers back that up.
Market Cap Takes a $13 Billion Hit
XRP’s market cap dropped from $82.5 billion to around $69 billion — a decline of roughly 15%. That’s a significant chunk of value wiped out in a short window, and it’s happening alongside broader market stress that isn’t really letting up.
Bitcoin’s recent weakness is part of the picture. Strategy, the firm associated with Michael Saylor, sold 32 BTC, and that sale contributed to broader negative sentiment. It’s probably not the only reason markets are struggling, but it added to the pressure at a moment when crypto didn’t need more headwinds.
The total crypto market cap contraction of $330 billion over the week puts XRP’s losses in context. It’s not an isolated token problem. The whole sector is getting hit, and XRP’s RSI just happens to be flashing a historically unusual signal at the same time.
Unclear whether the RSI closes June at this level or recovers somewhat. No details yet on whether trading volumes are shifting in any meaningful direction. What’s certain is that the monthly close will be watched closely — if 41.64 holds as the final reading, it locks in a data point that the XRP community will be analyzing for months.
The price at $1.11, the RSI at 41.64, and a market cap sitting near $69 billion.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is XRP’s current monthly RSI reading and why does it matter?
XRP’s monthly RSI has fallen to 41.64, its lowest level ever recorded — lower than the March 2020 low when the token traded at $0.11. The reading matters because it tracks sustained momentum, and this level has historically preceded significant recoveries.
How much has XRP’s price dropped from its peak?
XRP is trading around $1.11, which is roughly 61% below its October 2025 peak of $2.84, with its market cap falling from $82.5 billion to approximately $69 billion.
