A widely followed crypto trader has stirred the market with a bold prediction about Bitcoin’s (BTC) cycle peak, suggesting that the leading cryptocurrency could reach its market peak much earlier than most expect. The pseudonymous analyst, known as The Flow Horse, who has a following of 247,900 on the social media platform X, believes Bitcoin’s cycle peak may come as early as the first quarter of 2025.
The Flow Horse argues that the current market sentiment, which is becoming increasingly bullish after significant price movements, is a key indicator that Bitcoin is nearing its peak. He pointed out that after substantial price surges, the conversation among traders and analysts often shifts toward even higher price expectations, which is typically a signal of the market nearing a top. The Flow Horse believes this pattern, coupled with other market indicators, points to a cycle peak within the first quarter of 2025.
He also forecasts that after Bitcoin reaches its peak, there will be a major rotation into altcoins, which could lead to an explosive rally for many altcoins in the first to second quarter of 2025. This could mark the end of the current bull cycle for Bitcoin, as altcoins start to outperform the leading cryptocurrency.
“Bitcoin already won. This seems a bit more applicable to altcoins. I think Bitcoin tops, we get a nice major rotation into altcoins, and then it’s a wrap,” said The Flow Horse, suggesting that within one to two quarters, the cycle will come to a close for Bitcoin.
While The Flow Horse sees the cycle peaking earlier, other prominent crypto analysts hold differing views. Michaël van de Poppe, another well-known trader with 748,400 followers on X, believes Bitcoin still has significant upside potential. He points to the declining supply of Bitcoin on exchanges and the increasing liquidity in the market as factors that could propel Bitcoin’s price even higher.
Van de Poppe highlights that the amount of Bitcoin available on exchanges has substantially decreased, which he believes sets the stage for a supply shock. This, combined with an increase in market liquidity, could drive Bitcoin’s price to unprecedented levels. According to van de Poppe, this cycle could break all previous records, going much higher than many analysts currently anticipate.
In contrast to both The Flow Horse and Michaël van de Poppe, Rekt Capital, another respected crypto analyst, has analyzed Bitcoin’s historical cycles to predict that the peak may occur later than anticipated. Rekt Capital, with 507,400 followers on X, pointed out that Bitcoin typically hits its cycle peak between 518 and 546 days after a halving event—when miners’ rewards are halved.
The most recent halving event took place in April 2024, which, according to Rekt Capital’s analysis, could mean Bitcoin’s peak might not occur until mid-September or mid-October 2025. This timeline suggests that Bitcoin’s market cycle could extend much longer than what The Flow Horse predicts.
As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $99,741, just shy of its all-time high of $100,000. The divergence in predictions from various analysts highlights the uncertainty in forecasting Bitcoin’s trajectory. While The Flow Horse expects the peak in the early months of 2025, others like Michaël van de Poppe and Rekt Capital see the potential for further growth and a later cycle peak.
Conclusion: Diverging Views on Bitcoin’s Future
The crypto market is divided on when Bitcoin will hit its cycle peak. Some analysts, like The Flow Horse, foresee the peak within the first quarter of 2025, followed by an altcoin rally, signaling the end of the current cycle. Others, such as Michaël van de Poppe, argue that Bitcoin’s rally has more room to run, while Rekt Capital predicts a cycle peak in mid-2025, based on historical patterns. As Bitcoin nears its critical price points, traders and investors must carefully monitor the evolving market dynamics to determine which analysis will prove to be the most accurate in the coming months.
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