Community Trust ScoreVerified
XRP can’t catch a break. While Bitcoin climbed from $60,000 to $80,000 over three months, XRP basically sat still — and the gap between the two keeps widening.
Analyst ChartNerd has been watching the XRP/BTC pair closely, and the picture isn’t pretty. The pair lost its 20-period exponential moving average, which is a key momentum signal traders lean on to judge whether a trend has legs. Losing that level is bad enough on its own, but the broader context makes it worse: the pair has been declining for 15 straight weeks, which is why XRP’s USD price has looked so flat despite Bitcoin’s strong run. ChartNerd’s read is that XRP will probably keep underperforming Bitcoin for the rest of the year. No sugar-coating it.
Not a buy signal. Not yet, anyway.
XRP/BTC Pair Breaks Down After 15 Weeks
The XRP/BTC pair is now sitting near the lower end of its long-term range. Historically, that zone has been where XRP stages some of its biggest comebacks against Bitcoin — the kind of explosive moves XRP fans love to reference. But ChartNerd is clear: the pattern needs confirmation before anyone calls a bottom. Right now, the only confirmed pattern is a breakdown. That’s it.
XRP is trading around $1.36, stuck in a tight band between $1.34 and $1.37. Key support sits at $1.30, and if that level breaks, things could get ugly fast. ChartNerd sees potential downside to the $0.90-$0.70 range if conditions deteriorate further. On the upside, $1.40 looks like a wall — resistance that would need a serious shift in sentiment to crack. And that shift doesn’t seem close.
The sideways grind is frustrating for XRP holders who remember previous cycles where the token ripped hard against Bitcoin. Right now, there’s no sign of that energy returning.
Bitcoin at $77,000, Dominance Above 58%
Bitcoin is trading around $77,000, recovering from a recent dip that took it just above $74,000. The bounce is partly tied to geopolitical news — progress in US-Iran peace talks helped settle broader risk sentiment and gave Bitcoin room to recover. It’s kind of a weird dynamic, where macro headlines move crypto markets as much as on-chain fundamentals do these days.
Bitcoin’s market dominance is above 58%. That’s a big number. When dominance runs that high, capital basically piles into Bitcoin and doesn’t flow out into altcoins. XRP feels that squeeze directly. Investors who might have spread money across the altcoin market are sitting in Bitcoin instead, and XRP’s trading volume and price action both show it.
And that dominance isn’t just a passive metric — it’s an active headwind for XRP. Every dollar that goes into Bitcoin is a dollar that isn’t going into XRP. At 58%-plus dominance, that math adds up to a lot of missing capital.
ChartNerd’s broader point is that XRP’s underperformance isn’t a new story. The analyst has been tracking this since 2017, and the pattern of XRP lagging during Bitcoin bull phases is well-documented in the charts. What’s different now is the duration — 15 weeks of consecutive decline on the XRP/BTC pair is a grind, and it’s left XRP’s USD price stagnant even as Bitcoin printed new highs.
The $1.30 support level is probably the number to watch most closely. ChartNerd called it a crucial point. If XRP loses $1.30, the next meaningful support zone is much lower — that $0.90-$0.70 area that nobody in the XRP community wants to think about. So far, XRP has held above it, but the pressure is real.
On the flip side, a move above $1.40 could signal something is changing. ChartNerd sees that level as tough resistance, but breaking it would at least suggest buyers are showing up with some conviction. The problem is there’s no evidence of that yet. XRP is basically trapped between two levels and waiting for a catalyst that hasn’t arrived.
Bitcoin’s resilience makes the situation harder. Its recovery from $74,000 back toward $77,000 is the kind of move that reinforces investor confidence in Bitcoin specifically — not in crypto broadly. XRP doesn’t benefit from that narrative the way Bitcoin does.
So XRP sits at $1.36, range-bound, technically broken on the BTC pair, and facing a market structure that heavily favors Bitcoin. The $1.30 support is the line that matters most right now.
Hub: XRP price, news, and analysis
Frequently Asked Questions
What is XRP’s current price and key support level?
XRP is trading around $1.36, with key support at $1.30. If that level breaks, analyst ChartNerd sees potential downside to the $0.90-$0.70 range.
Why is Bitcoin’s market dominance hurting XRP?
Bitcoin’s dominance above 58% means most capital flows into Bitcoin rather than altcoins like XRP, leaving XRP with limited buying interest and a stagnant price despite Bitcoin’s climb from $60,000 to $80,000.
