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XRP Drops Below RSI 30 as Binance Supply Hits 4-Month Low and ETF Inflows Top $1.45 Billion

XRP Drops Below RSI 30 as Binance Supply Hits 4-Month Low and ETF Inflows Top $1.45 Billion
XRP Drops Below RSI 30 as Binance Supply Hits 4-Month Low and ETF Inflows Top $1.45 Billion

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XRP is flashing some pretty loud buy signals right now. Whether traders actually listen is another question entirely.

Analyst Ali Martinez went public with a call based on the Tom DeMark Sequential indicator, which just printed a buy signal on XRP’s chart. Martinez also flagged a dip to $0.90 as a potential entry point worth watching — a level he sees as a meaningful buying opportunity if the price gets there. Not everyone buys into the Tom DeMark tool, though. Its accuracy is disputed among traders, and plenty of market participants treat it with skepticism. Still, when you stack it alongside other data points, the picture gets harder to dismiss.

XRP’s Relative Strength Index has slipped below 30.

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That’s the oversold threshold. When RSI falls under that level, it typically means selling pressure has been heavy enough — and fast enough — that a short-term bounce becomes statistically more likely. It doesn’t guarantee anything. But combined with the Tom DeMark signal Martinez cited, the technical case for a near-term recovery is building.

Binance Supply Drops to 2.68 Billion Tokens

The on-chain data is probably the more interesting story here. According to CryptoQuant, the amount of XRP sitting on Binance has fallen to roughly 2.68 billion tokens — a four-month low. That’s a meaningful shift. When tokens leave exchanges, it usually means holders are moving assets into self-custody wallets, which pulls supply off the market and reduces the immediate availability of coins for selling.

Less XRP on Binance means less XRP ready to be dumped. That’s basically the mechanical logic behind why exchange outflows often get read as bullish. It doesn’t mean holders are rushing to sell elsewhere — it suggests they’re holding, maybe waiting, maybe positioning for something longer-term.

The broader pattern of investors moving crypto off centralized exchanges has been building for a while across the industry. Security concerns, regulatory uncertainty around custodial platforms, and a growing preference for direct ownership have all pushed more holders toward self-custody setups. XRP’s move here fits that wider trend, but the scale — hitting a four-month low specifically — makes it notable on its own terms.

Institutions Piling Into XRP ETFs

Here’s where it gets genuinely interesting. Net inflows into spot XRP exchange-traded funds have surpassed $1.45 billion since these products launched at the end of 2025. That’s not a small number. And it’s coming at a time when spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs are actually seeing declining interest — which makes the XRP inflow story stand out even more sharply.

The firms doing the buying aren’t fringe players. Bitwise, Canary Capital, Franklin Templeton, 21Shares, and Grayscale have all been acquiring XRP to back their respective ETF products. When an ETF issues new shares, the issuer needs real underlying assets — so each new dollar flowing into these funds translates directly into XRP purchases on the open market. That’s real demand, not speculative positioning.

The fact that conservative financial entities — the kind that run pension allocations and structured products — are putting money into XRP rather than rotating back into Bitcoin or Ethereum says something about where institutional appetite is shifting. It’s unclear exactly why XRP is winning that battle right now. Could be the legal clarity that came after Ripple’s long regulatory fight. Could be portfolio diversification logic. Probably both.

But the $1.45 billion figure is hard to argue with.

And the contrast with Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF flows matters. Institutional money doesn’t move randomly. When it moves toward one asset and away from others, that’s a signal worth tracking — even if the reasons behind it aren’t fully transparent yet.

Self-custody outflows from Binance, oversold RSI readings, a Tom DeMark buy signal, and $1.45 billion in ETF inflows since late 2025. Each of those data points alone is worth a footnote. Together, they’re worth a closer look.

The $0.90 level Martinez flagged as a buying opportunity hasn’t been hit yet — unclear if it will be. And the Tom DeMark tool’s disputed track record means traders should probably treat that signal as one input among several rather than a standalone conviction trade.

What’s harder to dismiss is the institutional commitment. Grayscale, Franklin Templeton, and the others aren’t buying XRP on a hunch. They’re acquiring it to back real financial products sold to real clients. That kind of structural demand doesn’t evaporate quickly, and it provides a floor that pure speculative interest can’t really replicate.

The XRP market is probably not out of the woods yet. Crypto volatility doesn’t disappear just because RSI dips below 30. But the combination of reduced exchange supply, oversold technicals, and sustained institutional inflows makes this a harder setup to ignore than it might look at first glance.

Net inflows into spot XRP ETFs have now crossed $1.45 billion since launch.

Frequently Asked Questions

What technical indicators are signaling a potential XRP rebound?

Analyst Ali Martinez cited the Tom DeMark Sequential indicator printing a buy signal, and XRP’s RSI has fallen below 30, the oversold threshold that often precedes short-term recoveries.

How much XRP is currently sitting on Binance?

According to CryptoQuant, XRP holdings on Binance have dropped to approximately 2.68 billion tokens, a four-month low, as investors move assets into self-custody wallets.

Which firms are buying XRP to back spot ETFs?

Bitwise, Canary Capital, Franklin Templeton, 21Shares, and Grayscale have all been acquiring XRP to support their spot XRP ETF products, which have seen net inflows exceed $1.45 billion since launching in late 2025.

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James Thorp

James Thorp is a passionate crypto journalist from South Africa specializing in Litecoin, Dash, and emerging digital assets. With years of experience covering the crypto markets, James delivers in-depth analysis and breaking news on altcoins, blockchain adoption, and decentralized payment networks for The Currency Analytics.

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