Bitcoin News

Story: BTC Faces May Peak Warning as Analyst Eyes $33K Drop From $78K

By Julie Binoche

1 / 15

Conflicting Views on Support Levels. Not everyone's that bearish, though. Ted Pillows sees things differently.

2 / 15

Historical Patterns vs. Immediate Price Action. Merlijn's whole thesis rests on cycles repeating. He's traced Bitcoin's mid-cycle behavior and…

3 / 15

Bitcoin's riding high above $78,000 right now. But one trader thinks that's basically the top for this cycle—and he's got receipts from past May meltdowns to back it up.

4 / 15

Merlijn The Trader dropped a chart showing Bitcoin peaked in May three times before: 2014, 2018, and 2022. Each time, the coin tanked hard. We're talking 61%, 65%, and 66% drops.

5 / 15

Not everyone's that bearish, though. Ted Pillows sees things differently. He's watching $75,000 as strong support and thinks Bitcoin could actually rip higher if it cracks the…

6 / 15

But Pillows isn't ignoring the downside. If Bitcoin can't punch through that resistance, he warns it could slide back to $70,000. Maybe even $66,318 if things get ugly.

7 / 15

The contrast's pretty stark. Merlijn's looking at years of data and seeing a pattern that repeats like clockwork.

8 / 15

Merlijn's whole thesis rests on cycles repeating. He's traced Bitcoin's mid-cycle behavior and found May keeps showing up as a danger zone.

9 / 15

His chart's got all three prior May peaks marked out, with the subsequent drops lined up side by side. The consistency's kind of eerie.

10 / 15

Pillows doesn't care much about what happened seven or eleven years ago. He's focused on the resistance zone right in front of us.

11 / 15

On the flip side, failing at resistance again would confirm sellers are still in control at these levels.

12 / 15

Related: Bitcoin Eyes $80K as Spot Volumes Surge and Futures Traders Bet Big

13 / 15

The thing is, both analysts are basically saying the same thing: the next move matters a lot. Merlijn thinks the move's already decided—down, hard, soon.

14 / 15

Neither guy's offering guarantees. Merlijn's pattern could break this time. Maybe institutional money or ETF inflows change the game enough that May 2025 doesn't play out like…

15 / 15

What's clear is that $78,000 to $80,000 is the line in the sand. Bitcoin's been hovering around there for days, and volume's starting to dry up.

The Currency Analytics

Want the full story?