The XRP market is bracing for a pivotal moment on April 16, when a U.S. court is expected to deliver its final ruling on the SEC lawsuit against Ripple Labs. The decision could significantly impact XRP’s price, with many speculating that a positive ruling for Ripple could lead to substantial growth for the cryptocurrency. But what are the chances of a favorable outcome, and how high could XRP rise if the court rules in Ripple’s favor?

XRP’s Impressive Surge in Recent Months

Since November 2024, XRP has seen an astonishing rally, with its price rising by over 329% in just a few months. The catalyst for this surge appears to be a shift in the U.S. political landscape, with the election of pro-crypto leader Donald Trump as president. On November 5, 2024, when the political climate began to favor the cryptocurrency sector, XRP’s price was $0.5044. By the end of the year, the market had grown by an incredible 281.7%.

However, the new year has brought mixed performance for XRP. In January 2025, the cryptocurrency saw a solid growth of 46%, but the following month, the market corrected, dropping by about 29.3%. So far this month, XRP has gained 1.51%, with a volatile few days marking the beginning of March. Between March 1 and 2, the price surged by 37.05%, before dropping nearly 18.70% on the third day. Despite a brief recovery, XRP has since seen a dip from $2.6004 to $2.1353 between March 7 and 9, bringing the current price to $2.1706.

April 16: The Day of Reckoning for XRP

April 16 is fast approaching, and the decision in the SEC lawsuit will have significant implications for Ripple and the broader cryptocurrency market. The SEC has been involved in a high-profile legal battle with Ripple over whether XRP should be classified as a security. The outcome of the case could set a critical precedent for the regulation of cryptocurrencies in the U.S.

The political shift in favor of the crypto industry, particularly under the Trump administration, has drives hopes that the court ruling will be favorable to Ripple. With several pro-crypto policies introduced, including the establishment of a special crypto task force under the SEC to clarify the regulatory framework, many crypto enthusiasts believe that the SEC may be more inclined to back off its lawsuit against Ripple.

Furthermore, Ripple’s legal battle with the SEC has drawn attention for its relative quietness in recent months. In February 2025, the SEC filed a joint stipulation with Coinbase Inc. to dismiss the ongoing civil enforcement action against the exchange, raising questions about whether the SEC could follow suit in the case against Ripple. Some rumors suggest that the Trump-led government may even intervene to end the lawsuit once and for all.

What Could Happen to XRP If Ripple Wins?

If the court rules in Ripple’s favor, XRP could experience a surge in price, potentially seeing significant growth as the market reacts to the news. Given that the lawsuit has cast a shadow over XRP’s legal standing and its ability to be traded freely on major exchanges, a favorable ruling would likely lead to increased confidence among investors and traders alike.

Ripple has faced challenges in terms of legal uncertainties and trading restrictions, but if the SEC case is resolved positively, XRP could find its way back to mainstream platforms without the cloud of regulatory fears hanging over it. The momentum from a legal victory could fuel a rally, with analysts speculating that XRP could see substantial growth in the short and medium term.

The political climate in the U.S. will also play a role in the aftermath. The Trump administration’s continued support of the cryptocurrency sector could bolster confidence in XRP and other digital assets, resulting in increased adoption. Additionally, Ripple’s ongoing work with financial institutions around the world could lead to increased use cases for XRP, contributing to its price growth.

A Closer Look at the SEC’s Position

The SEC’s position on XRP has remained somewhat ambiguous, especially compared to its more direct actions against other cryptocurrencies. In recent months, the SEC has made headlines for settling with firms like Coinbase, and many have been waiting for clarity regarding XRP. The regulator has been relatively tight-lipped about its legal battle with Ripple, fueling speculation that it might be softening its stance.

As of now, the SEC has not made any major moves to accelerate the case against Ripple. Some observers believe that this might signal a shift in priorities within the SEC, especially given the changing political landscape in Washington. If the case ends favorably for Ripple, the market could see not only a surge in XRP’s price but also a shift in how the SEC handles cryptocurrency regulations going forward.

Conclusion: What’s Next for XRP?

The fate of XRP is poised to be decided on April 16, and the court’s ruling could have a profound impact on its future. If Ripple wins the case, XRP could see a significant surge, marking the end of its legal troubles and signaling a new chapter in its growth. However, it’s important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and the outcome of the case is far from certain.

The political shift toward pro-crypto policies and Ripple’s growing partnerships with financial institutions could provide a positive backdrop for XRP’s potential price growth. But whether XRP will surge dramatically after the verdict remains to be seen, with much depending on the legal, regulatory, and market conditions that unfold in the coming months.