XRP may soon experience a significant price move as improving regulatory conditions and investor sentiment point toward a breakout. Analyst Teo Mercer, a popular Bitcoin strategist with over 2 million followers, recently shared a bullish XRP price forecast on X (formerly Twitter), suggesting that the current price level around $2 could be a strong entry point for long-term investors.

XRP Showing Signs of Recovery

After several months of subdued performance, XRP is now showing what Mercer described as “serious signs of life.” The altcoin has been consolidating around the $2 level since January, unable to break above resistance in the $3–$4 range. However, Mercer believes that a shift in the macro environment could set the stage for a move higher in the coming months.

According to the analyst, XRP’s current setup presents a “realistic” opportunity for investors to see their holdings double. He identified $3 to $4 as a likely price target before the end of the year, provided that favorable conditions continue to build in the U.S. regulatory landscape.

Regulatory Clarity Boosting Confidence

Much of this renewed optimism comes from major legislative steps taken in recent weeks that could reshape the crypto industry in the United States. Lawmakers have begun pushing forward measures that address key concerns about asset classification, consumer protection, and regulatory oversight.

One of the biggest developments came with the passage of the GENIUS Act, which lays out the first federal framework for stablecoins. The act defines stablecoins as payment systems and mandates full asset backing, transparency, and consumer safeguards. This move is seen as a building block for broader crypto regulation.

In another significant milestone, Republican senators introduced a sweeping bill designed to clarify the classification of digital assets. The bill proposes that securities would remain under the jurisdiction of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), while commodities — including many crypto tokens — would fall under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This measure aims to reduce regulatory uncertainty and give the crypto market a clearer path to compliance.

Ripple Legal Win Further Strengthens Outlook

XRP also gained momentum from Ripple’s recent settlement with the SEC. After years of legal battles, Ripple agreed to a $50 million settlement with the regulatory body, effectively closing a long-standing dispute. Both sides also dropped their appeals, though the settlement still requires final court approval.

This resolution is considered a major turning point. Without ongoing legal pressure, Ripple and XRP can now operate in a more stable environment. Investors are optimistic that this development will allow XRP to expand its use cases, particularly in the realm of cross-border payments and stablecoin integration.

Institutional Acceptance on the Rise

In another encouraging sign for the crypto sector, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) recently instructed mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to recognize digital assets when evaluating borrower strength. This move would allow crypto to be included in mortgage qualification assessments — without converting to U.S. dollars — and aligns with broader efforts to integrate crypto into traditional finance.

Such institutional recognition not only strengthens the case for crypto as a legitimate asset class but also creates long-term demand, particularly for assets like XRP that are already positioned as utility-driven cryptocurrencies.

Bold Predictions Draw Attention

While Teo Mercer’s prediction of a 2x move to $4 may seem ambitious, it’s relatively modest compared to some of the more extreme forecasts circulating online. For instance, analyst Dustin Layton recently claimed that 1,000 XRP — currently valued at roughly $2,000 — could be worth $50,000 by year-end. That implies an XRP price of over $52, requiring a $3 trillion market cap.

Most experts consider such high-end projections to be unrealistic in the near term. However, even more conservative analysts acknowledge that XRP has the potential for substantial upside if momentum continues building across regulatory, legal, and institutional fronts.

Conclusion

XRP is at a pivotal point, with growing signs that it may be preparing for a sustained rally. Analysts like Teo Mercer see realistic potential for XRP to reach $3 to $4, especially as regulatory clarity increases and investor sentiment improves.

With Ripple’s legal hurdles largely behind it and new federal legislation setting the stage for broader crypto adoption, XRP could emerge as a standout performer in the second half of 2025. While high-risk remains a factor, the groundwork for a bullish trend appears stronger than at any point in the last year.