Community Trust ScoreVerified
XRP is in rough shape. The token can’t hold ground against either USDT or BTC right now, and the chart isn’t doing sellers any favors — or buyers, for that matter.
On the daily USDT pair, XRP has been stuck inside a descending channel for weeks. Price sits below both the 100-day and the 200-day moving averages, and both of those averages are sloping down. That’s pretty much the definition of a bearish setup. The 100-day moving average is sitting around $1.25, acting as a ceiling every time price tries to bounce. The 200-day is further up near $1.45. Neither level looks easy to crack right now.
XRP lost the $1.25 level back in early June. Since then, it’s been leaning on the $1 zone for support. That’s the line in the sand. Hold it, and there’s at least a chance of building some kind of short-term base. Lose it, and the next real floor seems to be somewhere around $0.80 — a drop that would probably sting for anyone who bought the dip expecting a fast recovery.
RSI Divergence Offers Faint Hope
There’s one thing worth watching on the USDT chart, and it’s not the price itself. The RSI is showing higher lows even as price keeps making lower lows near that $1 support zone. That kind of divergence — bullish divergence, technically — can sometimes mean selling momentum is losing steam. Buyers haven’t proven anything yet, but the indicator at least hints that the relentless downside pressure might be softening a bit.
It’s not a green light. Not even close. A divergence on the RSI doesn’t flip a trend on its own. The market would still need to see resistance levels actually start cracking before any real recovery attempt could get going. Until $1.25 gives way on the upside, any bounce is probably just noise inside a bigger downtrend.
And the broader structure hasn’t changed. XRP is in a descending channel. It’s below its major moving averages. Sellers are basically running the show.
XRP/BTC Pair Near Multi-Month Lows
The BTC pair is arguably in worse shape. XRP is trading close to multi-month lows against Bitcoin, and the technical picture there is just as murky. Both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages on the XRP/BTC chart are trending down, and price is sitting below both of them.
Right now, the pair is testing support around 1,700 sats. That’s the consolidation floor — the level that’s been keeping the current range intact. A confirmed daily close below 1,700 sats would be a bad sign. The next real demand zone sits somewhere between 1,450 and 1,500 sats, which is a meaningful drop from here.
For buyers to get back in control on the BTC pair, they’d need to push price back above 1,850 sats. That level lines up with the declining 100-day moving average, so it’s a double layer of resistance. Reclaiming it would at least suggest the downtrend is losing momentum. Failing to reclaim it means any short-term rally is probably just a corrective move inside the bigger bearish structure — buyers getting squeezed back down before sellers reassert themselves.
That’s been the pattern. Rallies fade. Resistance holds. The downtrend continues.
It’s hard to say when that changes. The 1,700 sats level is critical right now, and the market is sitting right on top of it. A clean break lower would shift the picture pretty significantly. Buyers need to show up here, or the range breaks and XRP faces more depreciation against Bitcoin.
The USDT pair and the BTC pair are basically telling the same story from two angles. XRP is under pressure, resistance is heavy, and the path of least resistance is still lower unless something shifts. The RSI divergence on the USDT chart is the one technical detail that keeps the door slightly open for a recovery attempt — but it’s a slim opening, and the market hasn’t walked through it yet.
Short-term base at $1 or breakdown toward $0.80. Reclaim 1,850 sats or slide toward 1,450. Those are the two scenarios sitting on the table right now, and the charts aren’t giving a clear answer yet on which one plays out.
The 1,700 sats support level is where things stand on the BTC pair today.
Hub: XRP price, news, and analysis
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the key support level for XRP against USDT?
XRP is holding near the $1 mark as its critical support zone. Losing that level could push prices toward $0.80, while holding it may allow a short-term base to form below $1.25 resistance.
What does XRP need to recover against Bitcoin?
Buyers need to reclaim the 1,850 sats resistance level, which aligns with the declining 100-day moving average, to shift momentum. A breakdown below the current 1,700 sats support could send the pair toward the 1,450–1,500 sats demand zone.
