In the world of cryptocurrency, there’s an air of excitement and anticipation as the coming weeks and months could mark the resurgence of altcoins. Altcoin enthusiasts and investors have been closely watching the altcoin capitalization, which excludes Bitcoin, as it exhibits promising signs of recovery. To better understand this unfolding story, let’s dive into the details.
Altcoin Capitalization’s Journey
The altcoin capitalization, representing the cumulative market value of cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin, soared to its all-time high (ATH) in November 2021, reaching an impressive $1.71 trillion. However, since the inception of the bear market, altcoin capitalization has been locked in a persistent downtrend.
Fast forward to June 2022, the chart appeared to hit rock bottom during this ongoing market cycle, hitting a low of $427.75 billion. While weekly candle closures in November and December 2022 suggested further declines, no capitulation occurred to push altcoin capitalization even lower.
A Glimpse of Hope in 2023
The year 2023 has ushered in a potential shift in the altcoin market dynamics. Notably, the altcoin capitalization chart has started forming a bullish structure. This optimism is supported by the emergence of the first higher high (HH) and higher low (HL) relative to the altcoin capitalization levels seen at the close of 2022.
Simultaneously, the weekly chart, when viewed on a logarithmic scale, reveals the formation of a bullish falling wedge pattern. A falling wedge, characterized by decreasing lower lows and lower peaks within a contracting range, is typically considered a harbinger of a trend reversal. The contracting range signals that the bearish momentum is waning.
Charting the Path Forward
The breakout target stemming from this nearly 2.5-year wedge pattern is nothing short of remarkable—the previous ATH at $1.71 trillion, marked by a distinct black line on the chart. This target is calculated by projecting the entire height of the wedge onto the breakout point, and it stands as a testament to the potential magnitude of this trend reversal.
However, it’s crucial to note that the breakout from the wedge pattern has, thus far, led to the formation of a higher high. Following this, altcoin capitalization retraced, providing a bullish retest of the falling resistance line. Intriguingly, this retest coincided with the validation of a crucial horizontal support level at $494 billion, depicted by a steadfast green line on the chart.
This support level has played a pivotal role, having already provided support on four separate occasions, as indicated by the arrows on the chart. It also represents the lower boundary of the ongoing accumulation phase. It’s imperative to underline that for the altcoin capitalization to maintain its upward trajectory, it cannot dip below this essential support level.
Looking Ahead
As we move forward into the heart of 2023, the altcoin market stands at a crossroads. The signs of recovery and the formation of bullish patterns are undeniable. However, the path to reclaiming the previous ATH is riddled with challenges, including the need to break through key resistance levels and sustain the upward momentum.
Investors and enthusiasts alike are keeping a close eye on the altcoin capitalization chart, hoping that it serves as a barometer for what lies ahead in the crypto landscape. While the road may be uncertain, the potential for a resurgence in altcoins is an enticing prospect that could reshape the crypto narrative.
In conclusion, the altcoin market is showing promising signs of revival as altcoin capitalization seeks to break free from its bearish shackles. The journey ahead is marked by technical patterns, resistance levels, and the collective optimism of those who believe in the future of alternative cryptocurrencies. As the market evolves, it’s a story worth following for anyone with an interest in the ever-changing world of cryptocurrency.
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