The upward momentum for AVAX comes on the heels of a broader market rebound, largely driven by favorable macroeconomic conditions. Following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to lower interest rates by 50 basis points on September 18, the cryptocurrency sector reacted positively. The benchmark fed funds rate now sits between 4.75% and 5%, marking the first rate cut in four years and only the third time the Fed has initiated a rate-cutting cycle with such a significant reduction.
This news, while largely anticipated, introduced volatility into both the stock and cryptocurrency markets. According to data from IntoTheBlock, the recent price increase has placed 49% of AVAX token holders in profit, highlighting the significance of this rally.
Despite the optimistic price movement, analysts have mixed views on the long-term implications of the Fed’s decision. Some believe the rate cut will only offer a temporary boost to cryptocurrencies, suggesting that the underlying market conditions may still pose risks in the coming months. Observers expect further rate reductions as the year progresses, but the impact on risk assets like cryptocurrencies remains uncertain.
AVAX’s price surge also coincides with its increasing adoption in the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector. Recent data shows that the total value locked (TVL) in Avalanche has grown by 11%, rising from 28.1 million AVAX in the first quarter to 30.8 million in the second quarter. As of September 18, the TVL across all protocols on Avalanche stood at approximately 38.63 million AVAX.
This growth in TVL is significant as it serves as a key indicator of user engagement and liquidity within the DeFi ecosystem. Higher TVL often reflects strong activity and interest, positively influencing spot price action.
The top three protocols on Avalanche currently dominate the TVL landscape. Notably, Benqi has surpassed Aave to become the largest protocol on the network. Such developments indicate robust engagement from users and developers alike, contributing to Avalanche’s overall success.
While AVAX has broken free from its previous downward trend, it now faces a crucial test at key resistance levels. TradingView’s analysis shows that AVAX is trending above the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $25.23 and the 50-day SMA at $22.82.
However, strong resistance lies between $27.92 and $30.14. This zone has presented challenges over the past three months, having been tested multiple times without a successful breakout. Overcoming this make-or-break zone could pave the way for further price increases, with bullish traders eyeing $33 as the next target.
If AVAX fails to maintain its momentum and cannot break through the identified resistance levels, it could trigger a decline below the 50-day SMA at $22.82. This scenario may lead to a drop towards the support area around $19.50, which was tested earlier this month.
Avalanche’s recent price surge brings renewed optimism among investors, with nearly half of AVAX holders now seeing profits. As the market reacts to macroeconomic shifts and the platform’s growing role in the DeFi space, all eyes will be on AVAX’s ability to overcome critical resistance levels. Whether it can sustain its upward trajectory will depend on a variety of factors, including market sentiment and ongoing developments within the Avalanche ecosystem.
Steven is an explorer by heart – both in the physical and the digital realm. A traveler, Steven continues to visit new places throughout the year in the physical world, while in the digital realm has been instrumental in a number of Kickstarter projects. Technology attracts Steven and through his business acumen has gained financial profits as well as fame in his business niche. Send a tip to: 0x200294f120Cd883DE8f565a5D0C9a1EE4FB1b4E9
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