Chainlink (LINK) is currently exhibiting a fascinating blend of high development activity and sustained accumulation, which are both key drivers that could fuel its next price rally. Although its price action in the short term has been somewhat bearish, technical and on-chain metrics suggest the altcoin could see a bullish reversal in the near future. With strong signs of network growth and investor confidence, LINK may soon push past its resistance levels, signaling potential price gains.
Chainlink has established itself as a leader in the decentralized finance (DeFi) space, with its development activity remaining robust over the past month. According to Santiment data, Chainlink continues to lead the pack in terms of developer activity, a crucial indicator of the network’s ongoing technical growth. This heightened development, coupled with the network’s increasing adoption, shows Chainlink is solidifying its role in the DeFi ecosystem. Despite this, the price action has not reflected the growth in the development side. Chainlink’s price has been trapped in a range, facing consistent resistance at $17.45, while it has found support around $14.4.
The price chart reveals a clear struggle to break past the resistance, hinting that the market sentiment is still hesitant. However, some on-chain indicators suggest that there is a strong accumulation trend happening behind the scenes, which may ultimately drive the next upward movement in LINK’s price. One key metric supporting this is the rising mean coin age. This metric shows that tokens are being held for increasingly longer periods, indicating a reduction in selling pressure and an increase in long-term accumulation. This aligns with the notion that investors are becoming more confident in LINK’s future, which could potentially translate into price growth.
The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio also reveals interesting insights. With a current ratio of -26.29%, the holders who have purchased LINK in the last three months are currently experiencing losses. While this may appear bearish at first glance, historically, such negative MVRV ratios have often preceded price recoveries. When MVRV is negative, it signifies that many investors are underwater, which could indicate that the market is due for a rebound, as holders who bought at higher prices may become more likely to sell at a profit once LINK rises again.
Further supporting the bullish case, the supply distribution data shows an interesting shift in the number of addresses holding LINK tokens. The number of addresses holding over one million LINK has decreased, while smaller holders, from retail to whale investors, have been steadily increasing. This suggests that there is sustained interest and accumulation across various market participants, which could provide the fuel needed for a breakout.
However, despite these signs of accumulation and development, the technical indicators remain somewhat bearish in the short term. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is still showing a predominantly negative momentum, though it has started to show green bars on its histogram, hinting at a shift toward a more bullish trend. Additionally, the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator is trending higher, further reinforcing the idea that accumulation is taking place.
The price action is currently stalled near $14.4, with $17.45 serving as a tough resistance level. Breaking through this resistance is key for any upward movement, with the next significant resistance level at $18. If LINK can break through these barriers and hold above them, it could trigger a substantial rally.
In conclusion, Chainlink’s ongoing development activity, coupled with sustained accumulation and promising on-chain metrics, paints a bullish picture for the altcoin. While short-term price action remains uncertain, the growing confidence in LINK and its DeFi ecosystem position it well for potential price gains in the long run. Investors should keep an eye on key support and resistance levels, as a successful breakout could pave the way for Chainlink’s next major price rally.
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