JPMorgan analysts are bullish on Bitcoin’s prospects, predicting the cryptocurrency will see significant growth following Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential election. As part of their market outlook, the analysts emphasize the “debasement trade,” a strategy that benefits assets like Bitcoin and gold, which serve as hedges against inflation and the weakening of traditional currencies.
The concept of the “debasement trade” is rooted in the idea that assets such as Bitcoin and gold act as safe havens during periods of economic uncertainty and currency devaluation. As governments enact inflationary fiscal policies, these assets retain their value, making them attractive to investors seeking to protect their wealth.
JPMorgan’s analysts, led by managing director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, suggest that the election of Donald Trump, coupled with his proposed economic policies, is likely to strengthen this trend. “We do not see the initial negative market reaction by gold as a rejection of the ‘debasement trade,'” they wrote. “After all, Bitcoin, the other component of the ‘debasement trade,’ rallied after the Trump win.”
In fact, Bitcoin surged to an all-time high of $76,244 on November 6, the day the election results confirmed Trump’s victory, briefly touching $75,100 as of now. This surge is seen as a clear indicator of investor confidence in Bitcoin as a store of value amidst the anticipated inflationary policies under Trump’s administration.
JPMorgan analysts also point to rising geopolitical tensions, such as ongoing tariffs and global conflicts, as additional factors that could propel the prices of Bitcoin and gold. Central banks, especially in China, have diversified away from dollar reserves into gold over the past few years, a trend that is likely to continue. These moves, combined with U.S. fiscal policies, are expected to push both gold and Bitcoin to higher prices through 2025.
While central bank gold purchases have slowed since 2022, analysts believe tariffs and ongoing geopolitical tensions will further encourage this diversification. Moreover, retail investors have increasingly poured funds into both gold and Bitcoin ETFs, a trend that is expected to persist as Trump’s policies take shape.
In addition to the macroeconomic factors influenced by Trump’s presidency, Bitcoin’s upward trajectory is set to receive another significant boost from MicroStrategy’s ambitious “21/21 plan.” The software company has committed to acquiring $42 billion in Bitcoin over the next three years, with half of the funds raised through equity and the other half through fixed-income securities.
JPMorgan analysts predict that MicroStrategy will invest around $10 billion into Bitcoin in 2025 alone, a figure that is nearly equivalent to the company’s total Bitcoin purchases since mid-2020. This aggressive acquisition strategy, coupled with the potential for institutional adoption and further retail interest, is expected to have a profound impact on Bitcoin’s price performance.
As the global economic landscape evolves under Trump’s leadership, Bitcoin is poised to play a key role as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement. With the added fuel of MicroStrategy’s massive Bitcoin purchase plan, the cryptocurrency is positioned to benefit from both macroeconomic trends and institutional backing.
JPMorgan analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s future, even without providing a specific price target for 2025. However, the ongoing investments by major players like MicroStrategy and the supportive policies expected from Trump’s administration point to a bullish outlook for Bitcoin as it continues to solidify its place in the financial ecosystem.
Bitcoin’s future looks promising, with significant backing from both the institutional and retail sectors. Under the leadership of Donald Trump, and with MicroStrategy’s massive acquisition plan, Bitcoin could see further price growth as investors flock to the asset as a safe haven. Whether or not it reaches new highs, the cryptocurrency’s role as a store of value will likely be cemented in the years ahead, with a bright outlook heading into 2025.
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