Bitcoin has always been a volatile and unpredictable asset, but Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson believes that the world’s leading cryptocurrency could hit $250,000 within the next year or two. In an interview on CNBC, Hoskinson shared his thoughts on what could drive Bitcoin to reach this bold price target and what it would mean for the broader crypto market.

Bitcoin’s Price Path Ahead: $250K in 2025 or 2026?

Hoskinson’s prediction is certainly ambitious. He pointed to key factors, including Federal Reserve rate cuts, new regulations surrounding stablecoins, and growing global adoption of cryptocurrencies, as catalysts that could propel Bitcoin to reach $250,000. While Bitcoin has faced significant price fluctuations recently, Hoskinson is optimistic about the digital asset’s future, suggesting it could more than double its current price by the end of 2025 or 2026.

“I think Bitcoin will be over $250,000 by the end of this year or next year,” Hoskinson said during his interview. His reasoning was rooted in his belief that once the Fed lowers interest rates, an influx of cheap capital could flow into the cryptocurrency market, driving prices to new highs.

How Will Bitcoin Break $100K?

Bitcoin has been hovering below the $100K mark for a while, largely due to macroeconomic uncertainty and regulatory concerns. Hoskinson’s prediction hinges on the idea that new regulations, especially those focused on stablecoins, will help mainstream cryptocurrencies and provide institutional investors with the necessary confidence to enter the market.

According to Hoskinson, upcoming regulations could allow even the largest global companies to start accepting stablecoins, giving Bitcoin a further boost in terms of adoption and demand. He also pointed out that global conflicts could push more countries to use cryptocurrencies for international settlements, further cementing Bitcoin’s role in the financial system.

Looking ahead, Hoskinson forecasts that the crypto market might see a temporary stall over the next few months, with speculative interest in Bitcoin picking up again around August or September. This surge in interest could carry the market through the latter part of the year and into 2026, potentially fueling the growth Hoskinson anticipates.

Will the Market Align with Hoskinson’s Prediction?

Interestingly, some key valuation models seem to support Hoskinson’s outlook, at least in part. For example, the Mayer Multiple indicator, which helps assess Bitcoin’s value relative to its 200-day moving average, is showing that BTC could reach as high as $208,000 if it breaks above $87,000. This aligns closely with Hoskinson’s prediction of a major price surge within the next 12 months.

Another model, the Pi Cycle Top indicator, which has historically signaled Bitcoin’s price peaks, suggests that BTC still has room for growth before it hits its cycle top. This indicator looks for moments when the 111-day moving average (DMA) crosses the 350-day moving average, signaling a potential market top. Currently, the 350-DMA is valued above $150,000, indicating that Bitcoin could surge past this threshold before reaching its peak for this cycle.

Bitcoin’s Current Struggles and Declining Network Activity

While these indicators might sound promising, Bitcoin has been experiencing some short-term challenges. Bitcoin network growth has slowed significantly, with a 22% decline in the monthly average of active users. The number of users dropped from 101,000 to 78,000, pointing to a decline in network activity and investor interest in the cryptocurrency at the moment.

This slowdown in network growth is a crucial factor that could affect the accuracy of Hoskinson’s prediction. For Bitcoin to reach $250,000 in the next year or two, network activity would need to pick up significantly, signaling a rise in demand for Bitcoin.

What Needs to Happen for Bitcoin to Hit $250K?

For Hoskinson’s prediction to come true, a combination of factors would need to align. Most notably, Bitcoin’s network activity would need to increase, signaling that more people are using Bitcoin and investing in it. Without a significant rise in demand, the price surge Hoskinson envisions may remain elusive.

Furthermore, broader macro trends — such as the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions and the global regulatory landscape — will play a critical role in shaping Bitcoin’s future. If these factors lead to a stable and favorable economic environment for crypto, Bitcoin could be on track to surpass its all-time highs.

Conclusion

Charles Hoskinson’s $250,000 Bitcoin prediction is certainly bold, but it’s not without merit. With key regulatory developments, potential interest rate cuts, and increasing global adoption, there’s a real possibility that Bitcoin could see significant price appreciation in the coming years. However, with declining network activity and current market conditions, much of this potential still depends on the recovery of market sentiment and growing demand from both retail and institutional investors.