Home Bitcoin News When to Consider Selling Your Bitcoin, According to CryptoQuant

When to Consider Selling Your Bitcoin, According to CryptoQuant

Bitcoin

Bitcoin has been on an extraordinary rally, hitting a new all-time high of $94,040 just hours ago. As the leading cryptocurrency continues its rise, many investors are faced with the dilemma of whether to sell now and lock in profits or to hold on in hopes of even higher gains.

While no one can predict the future with certainty, experts have developed some useful metrics to guide investors in determining the right time to sell Bitcoin. Market intelligence platform CryptoQuant offers valuable insights into which key indicators could help you decide whether it’s time to cash out or keep holding.

Key Indicators to Watch Before Selling Bitcoin

CryptoQuant’s analysis points out a few essential signals that can help investors decide when to sell Bitcoin. These include the MVRV ratio, Fear & Greed Index, Coin Days Destroyed (CDD), and Realized Cap Growth. Here’s how these metrics work and what they tell us about Bitcoin’s market.

1. MVRV Ratio: What It Tells You About Bitcoin’s Value

The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is a key metric used to assess Bitcoin’s market conditions. It compares Bitcoin’s market value (current price) to its realized value (the average price paid by all Bitcoin holders).

  • High MVRV Ratio: Historically, when the MVRV ratio exceeds 3.7, it signals that Bitcoin is nearing a market top. At this point, many investors have unrealized profits and may start selling to cash out, causing a potential price drop.
  • Current MVRV Ratio: Currently, the ratio stands at 2.5, meaning there’s still room for growth before hitting a top. While this shows significant unrealized profit, it suggests that Bitcoin is not yet at its peak.

2. Fear & Greed Index: The Sentiment of the Market

The Fear & Greed Index tracks investor sentiment by analyzing factors like volatility, social media trends, and market momentum. It measures the emotional mood of the market, which can indicate whether it’s a good time to buy or sell.

  • Extreme Greed: When the index reads 83 or higher, as it does now, it signals that the market is in a state of extreme greed. High greed typically means that the market is overheated, and a correction may be coming soon. This could be a signal to consider selling before the market turns.

3. Coin Days Destroyed (CDD): Long-Term Holders’ Activity

Another metric to keep an eye on is the Coin Days Destroyed (CDD). This measures how much Bitcoin has moved after sitting in wallets for extended periods. When long-term holders start to sell, the CDD metric spikes.

  • What It Means: A sharp rise in CDD, especially when it crosses 15-20 million, is often a sign that long-term holders are selling their Bitcoin. This usually happens when they think the market has peaked, and it could be an early warning for other investors to consider selling as well.

4. Bitcoin Realized Cap Growth: Tracking New Money Flow

Realized Cap Growth is another important indicator. It tracks the flow of new money into the Bitcoin market by measuring the value of Bitcoin at the price it last moved.

  • Why It Matters: If the Realized Cap Growth slows down or decreases, it suggests that new money is no longer entering the market. Without fresh capital, Bitcoin’s price can experience pressure, signaling that a top might be near.

5. Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP): What Bitcoin Movement Tells Us

The Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) measures the flow of Bitcoin between different exchanges. A sudden drop in IFP can suggest that investors are becoming less active in trading, which can be a sign that the market is losing momentum.

  • Bearish IFP: When Bitcoin starts flowing less between exchanges, it indicates a potential market slowdown. This bearish signal can mean that Bitcoin has hit its top, and it may be time to sell before the price starts to decline.

How Can You Use These Signals?

By monitoring these indicators, you can gain better insight into when Bitcoin might be reaching its peak. Here’s a quick recap of the key points:

  • MVRV Ratio: Currently, at 2.5, there’s still some room for growth, but keep an eye on it as it nears 3.7, which historically signals a top.
  • Fear & Greed Index: With the index currently at 83, we’re in a state of extreme greed, signaling that a correction may soon be on the horizon.
  • Coin Days Destroyed: A surge in CDD can indicate that long-term holders are beginning to sell, which could signal a top.
  • Realized Cap Growth & IFP: Watch for any signs of slowing growth or reduced Bitcoin flow between exchanges, as this could indicate the market is losing steam.

Investing in Bitcoin requires careful consideration, and using these key metrics can help you make more informed decisions about when to sell. Keep an eye on the market and remain flexible, as conditions can change quickly in the world of cryptocurrencies.

Read more about:
Share on

Evie

Evie is a blogger by choice. She loves to discover the world around her. She likes to share her discoveries, experiences and express herself through her blogs.

Crypto newsletter

Get the latest Crypto & Blockchain News in your inbox.

By clicking Subscribe, you agree to our Privacy Policy.

Get the latest updates from our Telegram channel.

Telegram Icon Join Now ×