The crypto currency market is experiencing a significant downturn as September begins, with its total value dropping by nearly $20 billion to approximately $2.03 trillion in the last 24 hours. Bitcoin, the largest crypto currency by market capitalization, has fallen to around $57,270, a level last seen in mid-August, contributing to the overall market decline.
Bitcoin’s recent price drop comes as it faces strong selling pressure, with traders closely monitoring the $55,724 support level. Should Bitcoin fall below this critical level, it could potentially decline further to around $49,000, deepening the market’s losses. Historically, September has been a challenging month for Bitcoin, often marked by price consolidation or downward movements, with typical losses ranging between 5-10%.
In recent weeks, Bitcoin encountered resistance at the $65,000 mark, leading to a shift in capital flows toward stable coins. This movement suggests that investors are becoming increasingly cautious, reflecting uncertainty in the broader crypto currency market. The market cap for stable coins has surged to an all-time high, nearing $170 billion, indicating a growing preference for these less volatile assets.
Adding to the market’s downward pressure is the looming threat of significant Bitcoin sell-offs from two major sources: the U.S. government and the defunct crypto currency exchange Mt. Gox. The U.S. government currently holds over 203,000 Bitcoin, valued at approximately $12.1 billion, while Mt. Gox is set to release an additional 46,000 Bitcoin, worth over $2.7 billion, to its creditors.
The potential release of over $14.8 billion worth of Bitcoin into the market could significantly impact prices, leading to further declines. Investors are closely watching these developments, as the timing and scale of these sell-offs could determine the market’s short-term trajectory.
Analysts have also observed a decrease in exchange-related on-chain activity, indicating a reduction in trading volume for Bitcoin and other crypto currencies. This decline suggests waning demand, with each recent price drop in Bitcoin becoming more pronounced and subsequent recoveries weaker.
The data from August points to Bitcoin nearing a critical turning point this September, potentially leading to further decreases in demand and exacerbating the current market downturn.
Despite the prevailing bearish sentiment, there remains a glimmer of hope for recovery. Some experts believe that the U.S. Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision on interest rates could provide a much-needed boost to the crypto currency market.
A rate cut could trigger a rally in Bitcoin and other crypto currencies, helping to reverse the current downtrend. For this to happen, Bitcoin would need to climb back above its moving averages to initiate a meaningful recovery. If successful, the price could rise toward $65,000 and potentially even reach $70,000.
However, the immediate focus for the market is on maintaining key support levels. Should Bitcoin fail to hold these levels, it could face further declines, with the next major support at $54,000. As the market navigates this period of uncertainty, investors will be closely watching these critical levels and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision for potential signs of a market rebound.
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