Ethereum (ETH) has faced a challenging month and a half, with its price recently dipping close to a 17-month low at $1,802. Despite this downward trajectory, Ethereum’s long-term holders (LTHs) are showing confidence in the asset, accumulating more ETH at these lower levels. This trend has fueled speculation about a potential price rebound as Ethereum approaches these crucial support levels.

Ethereum’s Current Market Sentiment

Ethereum’s price has been struggling in recent weeks, falling from higher price points and nearing lows not seen since 2023. However, despite the bearish market sentiment, Ethereum’s investors are showing an opposite trend. The supply of Ethereum on exchanges has been steadily dropping, hitting a six-month low. This is typically seen as a bullish indicator, as it suggests that investors are choosing to hold their ETH off exchanges, signaling trust in Ethereum’s long-term value.

The decrease in exchange supply suggests that many Ethereum holders are not looking to sell their assets in the current market. Instead, they are holding onto their coins, anticipating future price increases once the market stabilizes. This shift away from short-term trading to long-term holding is often seen during periods of market uncertainty when investors are more focused on the long-term potential of the asset.

Long-Term Holders Show Confidence

Ethereum’s Long-Term Holders (LTHs) appear to be capitalizing on this period of lower prices. With Ethereum trading close to $1,802, many LTHs are increasing their holdings, positioning themselves to benefit from any potential future recovery. The Liveliness indicator, which measures the activity of long-term holders, has been declining in recent weeks. This drop suggests that fewer Ethereum holders are selling their assets, further supporting the idea of accumulation rather than liquidation.

The decline in Liveliness is a strong signal that selling pressure is weakening. As fewer ETH coins are changing hands, LTHs appear more confident in Ethereum’s long-term outlook. This behavior contrasts with short-term traders who are more likely to react to market volatility, either buying or selling based on the immediate market sentiment.

Ethereum’s Resistance Levels and Potential for Rebound

Ethereum is currently facing strong resistance at $1,862, a level it has been struggling to break above for over six weeks. If ETH can successfully push past this resistance, it could signal the end of its current downtrend and pave the way for a price rebound. Ethereum’s ability to rise above $1,862 would open the door for further price increases, with $2,000 being the next key target.

However, failure to break the resistance at $1,862 could indicate that the downtrend will continue. In such a scenario, Ethereum could fall further toward its 17-month low of $1,745. If the price fails to hold support at this critical level, the downtrend could extend, and Ethereum’s price could experience more significant losses, potentially triggering panic selling from weaker hands.

Outlook for Ethereum

Despite Ethereum’s current challenges, the actions of long-term holders suggest that there is still a strong belief in the asset’s future potential. As Ethereum’s supply continues to decrease on exchanges, it could lead to a reduction in selling pressure, which might give the market the boost it needs to reverse course. If Ethereum can break through the $1,862 resistance level and hold above key support areas, it could see a recovery in the short term, with $2,000 acting as a significant target.

However, much depends on whether Ethereum can maintain its position above critical support levels. If the price continues to struggle at these levels, Ethereum could face more downside, but the strong accumulation by long-term holders suggests that Ethereum’s future still holds promise. With market conditions potentially turning in its favor, Ethereum may be on the verge of a price recovery once the bearish sentiment subsides.